gregmatta
Who will win the most Super Delegates at the Democratic Convention?
Market is being settled based on the 99.9% rule. It is being backvoided to the date of Clinton's endorsement speech. Which was on June 7th
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
| Barack Obama |
| |||
| Hillary Clinton |
| |||
| All others |
|
Suspend date: Mon 25th Aug 2008 1:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 25th Jun 2008 8:01am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Jun 2008 10:10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Barack Obama : 33%, Hillary Clinton : 33%, All others: 34%
Action history:
gregmatta 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: I just noticed this market was still open.. seems safe to settle according to the 99% rule.
Perhaps a backvoid to Clinton's endorsement speech?
ryanj
: Market is being settled based on the 99.9% rule. It is being backvoided to the date of Clinton's endorsement speech. Which was on June 7th
Suspend date: Mon 25th Aug 2008 1:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 25th Jun 2008 8:01am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Jun 2008 10:10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (117)
117 predictions
andrew
predicted Barack Obama (H$200 at 91%)
triathematician
predicted Barack Obama (H$1,000 at 89%)
epicur
dragon01
predicted Barack Obama (H$20 at 84%)
deelilley
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Barack Obama (H$50 at 58%)Comments (4)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn moreRelated News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
Related tags
New in Politics » US Election 2008
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Who_wi...
The argument brought up about the need to either void or clarify was very good, and I'm a bit two sided on what to do, so I would like to get some input. The flag reasoning follows below:
"What does "win" mean? Does it refer to those who are pledged to one candidate or another, OR does it refer to who will receive the most superdeligate votes? The question needs to be clarified or voided as it is unclear what "win" means. Isn't the vote private, and therefore we'd be speculating anyway?"
So what is everyones thoughts? A continuing discussion is going on here: http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/politics_market_quarrels
alot can happen before then. a month is an eternity in politics.
what if, for example, hillary drops out? Then, it would be incumbent upon all the superdelegates to cast their lot with Obama. The reverse is true. While the superdelegates count in such a big way in US politics, their voice is minimized when there is a clear candidate. When a clear candidate becomes inevitable, most, if not all, superdelegates back that candidate.
Please log in or join to add a comment