Created Sat 2nd Feb 2008 10:15am PST by
mursik
All questions » World » Europe » 
Who will win the next elections for the German Bundestag?
Current forecast: none of them will have a majority (51% chance
2%)
2%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is none of them will have a majority with a probability of 51% (down 2% in last 1 day)
In Germany are no clear majorities for one of the political parties or coalitions. In 2005 no side won which lead to the Grand Coalition. Will there be a clear vote for one of the coalitions (CDU-FDP or SPD-Greens) or will it again be unclear?
Settlement details:
Official result as reported by Spiegel Online
Make your prediction!
| CDU-FDP |
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| SPD-Greens |
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| none of them will have a majority |
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Activity: H$5,009
Question suspends in 50 weeks
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (50 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: CDU-FDP: 25%, SPD-Greens: 20%, none of them will have a majority: 55%
Action history:
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (50 weeks to go)
more info...
Predictions (55)
55 predictions
Comments (3)
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score: 10
Deutsche Welle 2 days ago
Left party -- die Linke -- is the fourth party in national elections behind the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Free Democratic Party (FDP). In the eastern states the party is actually neck and neck with the
score: 10
Xinhuanet 3 days ago
BERLIN, Jan. 6 (Xinhua) -- Germany is to hold the general election on September 27 this year, German President Horst Koehler said here on Tuesday. 'The election for the 17th Bundestag will take place on Sept
score: 10
Miami Herald 4 days ago
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score: 10
International Herald Tribune 4 days ago
list last week of events in 2009 it said would impact on its readers' lives. Germany's national election on Sept. 27 wasn't among them. The omission can't come as a total shock. The vote itself - essentially a rerun of the internal debate between the
score: 10
Forbes.com 5 days ago
BERLIN, Jan 4 (Reuters) - German Chancellor Angela Merkel has bowed to pressure from her Bavarian allies and agreed to include tax relief in a new stimulus package designed to shield the economy from its worst




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