Created Sat 2nd Feb 2008 10:15am PST by 
mursik
All questions » World » Europe » mursik 
Who will win the next elections for the German Bundestag?
Current forecast: none of them will have a majority (51% chance
2%)
2%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is none of them will have a majority with a probability of 51% (down 2% in last 1 day)
In Germany are no clear majorities for one of the political parties or coalitions. In 2005 no side won which lead to the Grand Coalition. Will there be a clear vote for one of the coalitions (CDU-FDP or SPD-Greens) or will it again be unclear?
Settlement details:
Official result as reported by Spiegel Online
Make your prediction!
| CDU-FDP |
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| SPD-Greens |
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| none of them will have a majority |
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Activity: H$5,009
Question suspends in 50 weeks
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (50 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: CDU-FDP: 25%, SPD-Greens: 20%, none of them will have a majority: 55%
Action history:
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Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (50 weeks to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (55)
55 predictions
nuese
predicted CDU-FDP (H$50 at 27%)
predicted CDU-FDP (H$20 at 29%)
predicted none of them will have a majority (H$5 at 53%)
predicted CDU-FDP (H$100 at 33%)
questmaster
predicted CDU-FDP (H$100 at 33%)Comments (3)
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score: 10
Deutsche Welle 2 days ago
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Xinhuanet 3 days ago
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score: 10
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