Created Mon 3rd Mar 2008 2am PST by

Who will win the run-off vote and become the next mayor of Regensburg (Germany)?

Settled as Hans Schaidinger (CSU)

Hans Schaidinger won with 52,15% against Joachim Wolbergs with 47,58%.

http://www.mittelbayerische.de/index.cfm?pid=3624&pk=211478

This news is dated March 16th at 23.21 central european time. All predictions after that will be voided.

Background:

After the local elections in Bavaria on March 2nd several mayoral candidates have to go into run-off elections on March 16th.
In the city of Regensburg the lord mayor Hans Schaidinger from the CSU (Christian Social Union of Bavaria) has to defend his position against the SPD's (Social Democratic Party of Germany) candidate Joachim Wolbergs.
In the first round it was: Schaidinger 43,53% - Wolbergs 26,96

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

Hans Schaidinger (CSU)

92%

Joachim Wolbergs (SPD)

Activity: H$9,335

Settled as Hans Schaidinger (CSU) on Mon 17th Mar 2008 3:22pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 17th Mar 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 17th Mar 2008 3:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 16th Mar 2008 3:20pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Hans Schaidinger (CSU): 55%, Joachim Wolbergs (SPD): 45%

Action history:

Created Mon 3rd Mar 2008 2am PST by

jakob

Edited Mon 3rd Mar 2008 11:43am PST by

ryanj

Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 12:05pm PST by

tomg

Suspended Mon 17th Mar 2008 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Mon 17th Mar 2008 12:54pm PDT by

jakob

: Hans Schaidinger won with 52,15% against Joachim Wolbergs with 47,58%.

http://www.mittelbayerische.de/index.cfm?pid=3624&pk=211478

Settled as 'Hans Schaidinger (CSU)' Mon 17th Mar 2008 3:22pm PDT by

lesley [Admin]

: Hans Schaidinger won with 52,15% against Joachim Wolbergs with 47,58%.

http://www.mittelbayerische.de/index.cfm?pid=3624&pk=211478

This news is dated March 16th at 23.21 central european time. All predictions after that will be voided.

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