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Who'll last longer, Robert Mugabe or Hillary Clinton?
This market was in reference to the nomination. Now that it's clear she's leaving I'm settling the market as Mugabe.
Hmm.. Ruthless Dictator or Ruthless Politician, seems the one with the gun always wins
Background:
Zimbabwe's deputy information minister Bright Matonga as saying: “In meetings with Mr. Mugabe, we talked about how much he has in common with Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party nomination process in the United States. Like Hillary, Mr. Mugabe is behind in votes. In drawing a favorable comparison, we admire her fighting spirit, her unwillingness to let go when she's obviously behind and should quit as well as her decision to take this all the way to the Democratic Party convention in Denver."
Zimbabwe has now named the June 27th the date for the run-off election between Robert Mugabe and his opponent, Morgan Tsvangirai. The Democrat convention starts on August 25th. Will Clinton really hang on until then?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Last longer means stay in power (Mugabe) or in the Democratic race/resultant presidency, if applicable (Clinton). Clinton will be considered to remain in the race up until she publically states she is quiting.
Settled
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Clinton |
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Mugabe |
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Suspend date: Wed 16th Jul 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 5th Jun 4:26pm PDT
Initial likelihoods: Clinton: 40%, Mugabe: 60%
Action history:
nigeleccles nigeleccles 
jenniandboys: Suspended pending settlement jenniandboys: Mugabe outlasts Clinton (market suspended) 
ryanj: This market was in reference to the nomination. Now that it's clear she's leaving I'm settling the market as Mugabe.
Hmm.. Ruthless Dictator or Ruthless Politician, seems the one with the gun always wins
Suspend date: Wed 16th Jul 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 5th Jun 4:26pm PDT
more info...
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230 predictions
caveman1144
svensche
steph
jakethesnake
swilson
bcguelph
snuzz
myunion
colleenComments (18)
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More questions by
nigeleccles
70 settled, 13 voided
i have no idea who will last longer ...
Another comparison -- they both wear pants ;-)
(seriously, for Zimbabwe, let's hope not)
Zimbabwe lost with the David Owens/Andrew Young initiative: perhaps they will win this time...
Regardless of outcome, both countries are destined to lose.
yowza
when bush lite is gone, ill sure miss the entertainment provided us by those with BPS (bush psychosis syndrome).
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
I don't think anyone says that has happened yet. If as rumored she suspends her campaign Saturday that's still not the same as quitting, because she'd still be retaining her delegates and presumably hoping that Obama will suffer a setback that makes the superdelegates move to her en masse.
We know that a Clinton withdrawal is coming on Saturday as per her campaign. Also the emails she's released to her supporters are evidence that she will be suspending her campaign. Mitt Romney suspended his campaign as well after Super Tuesday but we settled markets asking if Romney would be the GOP nominee as no since it was a 99.9% chance that he wouldn't be the nominee. The same ruling is made here. Because we know she is publicly stating she is quitting on Saturday we can settle. Does that clear up the reasoning?
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
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