Will 2008's Carnaval in Rio De Janeiro have more deaths than 2007's?
Settled as No
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-02/08/content_7581831.htm
No
Background:>
The State Secretary of Rio de Janeiro does a yearly report on all deaths ocurred during the Carnaval period. There were 270 recorded deaths in 2006 and 198 in 2007. Will 2008 have more than 198 reported deaths?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Usually reported by Secretaria Estadual de Saúde e Defesa Civil (State Secretary of Health and Civil Defense)
Will 2008's Carnaval in Rio De Janeiro have more deaths than 2007's?
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Settled
Activity: H$12,698
Settled as
No on Mon 18th Feb 2008 12:50am PST
Suspend date: Wed 6th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 18th Feb 2008 12:50am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 6th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 60%
Action history:
Created Mon 28th Jan 2008 2:47pm PST by
zaratustra
Suspended Wed 6th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Wed 6th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 18th Feb 2008 12:50am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 6th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (41)
41 predictions
48 weeks ago
thorus
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 85%)
48 weeks ago
pratikxl38
predicted
No (H$100 at 40%)
48 weeks ago
ilyah
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 61%)
48 weeks ago
redmann
predicted
No (H$100 at 39%)
48 weeks ago
rvdb_nl
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 61%)
more48 weeks ago
thorus
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 85%)
48 weeks ago
pratikxl38
predicted
No (H$100 at 40%)
48 weeks ago
ilyah
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 61%)
48 weeks ago
redmann
predicted
No (H$100 at 39%)
48 weeks ago
rvdb_nl
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 61%)
48 weeks ago
quorny
predicted
No (H$50 at 39%)
48 weeks ago
crixan
predicted
Yes (H$50 at 61%)
48 weeks ago
herri
predicted
No (H$57 at 38%)
48 weeks ago
jc31415
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 61%)
48 weeks ago
junknik
predicted
No (H$50 at 39%)
48 weeks ago
ibachelor
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 62%)
48 weeks ago
rvdb_nl
predicted
Yes (H$50 at 61%)
48 weeks ago
doopa
predicted
No (H$50 at 39%)
48 weeks ago
solagon
predicted
No (H$20 at 39%)
48 weeks ago
aristo
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 61%)
48 weeks ago
babs78ang
predicted
No (H$50 at 38%)
Showing recent public predictions only
less
Comments (0)
No comments yet
Please log in or join to add a comment