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Will A Fan or a Favorite find the (next) Hidden Immunity Idol on Survivor 16 - Micronesia?

Settled as Favorite (Malakal tribe)

Found by Ozzy, favourite.

Background:

Background: In episode two, Kathy (Fans) and Cirie (Favorites) went to Exile Island, where both castaways had the chance to hunt for the same Hidden Immunity Idol.

"Cirie and Kathy collected the first four clues to the whereabouts of the lone Hidden Immunity Idol -- however it took them hours to do so since they had to keep swimming between two different islands. Night fell, and despite working together the two couldn't find the whereabouts of the idol.

'Looking for the idol was absolute torture,' commented Cirie. 'I've never worked so hard, walked so far in my life.' "

Will a Fan (Airai tribe) or a Favorite (Malakal tribe) be the first to obtain the Hidden Immunity Idol?

Note:
If one tribe member "spots" the idol first, but a member of the other tribe "gets to it first" -- the tribe that "gets to it first" wins -- unless the two opposing tribe members immediately agree differently.

Settlement details:As reported on the Survivor website, <http://www.cbs.com/primetime/survivor16/> or by a major mainstream news source.

Predictions made after 5:00 PM PST on the date the idol is found shall be voided.

Settlement announcement to be embargoed until 9:00 PM PST on the date the idol is found, to avoid being a spoiler.

 
Forecast history %
Fan (Airai tribe)
43%
Favorite (Malakal tribe)
53%
Idol never found
4%
Settled as Favorite (Malakal tribe) on Thu 28th Feb 2008 11:38pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 28th Feb 2008 5pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 28th Feb 2008 11:38pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Feb 2008 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Fan (Airai tribe): 49%, Favorite (Malakal tribe): 49%, Idol never found: 2%

Action history:

Created Sun 17th Feb 2008 8:54pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]
Edited Mon 18th Feb 2008 12:57am PST by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Thu 21st Feb 2008 5pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 21st Feb 2008 9:17pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: No idol found in Episode 3; resume market and suspend at 17:00 PST on Feb 28, 2008.

<http://www.cbs.com/primetime/survivor16/>
Edited Fri 22nd Feb 2008 3:19am PST by tisha[Admin]
Edited Thu 28th Feb 2008 12:05am PST by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Thu 28th Feb 2008 5pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 28th Feb 2008 9:12pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction:
Favorite (Malakal tribe)

Idol found in this episode by Ozzi (Favorite).

Episode 4 of Survivor is being shown on the website, <http://www.cbs.com/primetime/survivor16/>
spoiler free -- so digging is required.

It will probably be at this link in a few hours:
<http://www.cbs.com/primetime/survivor16/recaps/1604/>
Settled as 'Favorite (Malakal tribe)' Thu 28th Feb 2008 11:38pm PST by tisha[Admin]: Found by Ozzy, favourite.

Suspend date: Thu 28th Feb 2008 5pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 28th Feb 2008 11:38pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Feb 2008 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (21)

1 year ago
slide19 predicted Fan (Airai tribe) (H$300 at 39%)
1 year ago
stargate_jaffa_sg1 predicted Idol never found (H$54 at 7%)
1 year ago
slamx3pj predicted Fan (Airai tribe) (H$20 at 42%)
1 year ago
carla predicted Idol never found (H$100 at 5%)
1 year ago
quorny predicted Fan (Airai tribe) (H$50 at 43%)

Comments (1)

  1 tisha[Admin]
No immunity idol found in Episode 3. This question has been extended to apply to Episode 4.
posted 1 year ago

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