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Will A Fan or a Favorite find the (next) Hidden Immunity Idol on Survivor 16 - Micronesia?

Settled as Favorite (Malakal tribe)

Found by Ozzy, favourite.

Background:

In episode two, Kathy (Fans) and Cirie (Favorites) went to Exile Island, where both castaways had the chance to hunt for the same Hidden Immunity Idol.

"Cirie and Kathy collected the first four clues to the whereabouts of the lone Hidden Immunity Idol -- however it took them hours to do so since they had to keep swimming between two different islands. Night fell, and despite working together the two couldn't find the whereabouts of the idol.

'Looking for the idol was absolute torture,' commented Cirie. 'I've never worked so hard, walked so far in my life.' "

Will a Fan (Airai tribe) or a Favorite (Malakal tribe) be the first to obtain the Hidden Immunity Idol?

Note:
If one tribe member "spots" the idol first, but a member of the other tribe "gets to it first" -- the tribe that "gets to it first" wins -- unless the two opposing tribe members immediately agree differently.
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Fan (Airai tribe)
43%
Favorite (Malakal tribe)
53%
Idol never found
4%
Activity: H$5,034
Settled as Favorite (Malakal tribe) on Thu 28th Feb 11:38pm PST
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported on the Survivor website, <http://www.cbs.com/primetime/survivor16/> or by a major mainstream news source.

Predictions made after 5:00 PM PST on the date the idol is found shall be voided.

Settlement announcement to be embargoed until 9:00 PM PST on the date the idol is found, to avoid being a spoiler.


Suspend date: Thu 28th Feb 5pm PST

Settlement date: Thu 28th Feb 11:38pm PST

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Feb 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Fan (Airai tribe): 49%, Favorite (Malakal tribe): 49%, Idol never found: 2%

Action history:

Created Sun 17th Feb 8:54pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]
Edited Mon 18th Feb 12:57am PST by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Thu 21st Feb 5pm PST : Suspend date reached
Edited Fri 22nd Feb 3:19am PST by tisha[Admin]
Edited Thu 28th Feb 12:05am PST by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Thu 28th Feb 5pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Favorite (Malakal tribe)' Thu 28th Feb 11:38pm PST by tisha[Admin]: Found by Ozzy, favourite.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported on the Survivor website, <http://www.cbs.com/primetime/survivor16/> or by a major mainstream news source. ... read all

 

Predictions (21)

21 predictions

32 weeks ago
slide19 predicted Fan (Airai tribe) (H$300 at 39%)
32 weeks ago
stargate_jaffa_sg1 predicted Idol never found (H$54 at 7%)
32 weeks ago
slamx3pj predicted Fan (Airai tribe) (H$20 at 42%)
32 weeks ago
carla predicted Idol never found (H$100 at 5%)
32 weeks ago
quorny predicted Fan (Airai tribe) (H$50 at 43%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 tisha[Admin]
No immunity idol found in Episode 3. This question has been extended to apply to Episode 4.
posted 32 weeks ago

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