Created Thu 7th Feb 10:06am PST by 
meanderingsearcher
All questions » World » Asia » meanderingsearcher 
Will American troops have Pakistan's permission to be operating in Pakistan by the end of 2008?
Current forecast: 12% chance 
44%
44%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 12% likely to happen (down 44% in last 1 day)
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$47,497
Question suspends in 4 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%
Action history:
Created Thu 7th Feb 10:06am PST by meanderingsearcher
meanderingsearcher
Edited Thu 14th Feb 4:09am PST by 
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
nigeleccles
Clarified Thu 14th Feb 4:10am PST by nigeleccles: Question edited to include the word 'permission' as intended by the question creator
nigeleccles: Question edited to include the word 'permission' as intended by the question creator
Edited Thu 6th Mar 1:46pm PST by nigeleccles
nigeleccles
Settlement requested Sun 23rd Mar 1:02pm PDT by 
lola: Sources say that U.S. Predator strikes inside Pakistan are on the rise since January talks
http://www.newsweek.com/id/128617
The United States has stepped up its use of pilotless planes to strike at Qaeda targets along Pakistan's rugged border area, a measure that in the past drew protests from President Pervez Musharraf but now has his government's tacit approval. Since January, missiles reportedly fired from CIA operated Predator drones have hit at least three suspected hideouts of Islamic militants, including a strike last Sunday on a house in a South Waziristan village called Toog.
The surge began after visits to Pakistan at the beginning of the year by senior U.S. officials, including intelligence czar Mike McConnell, CIA director Gen. Michael Hayden and Adm. William Fallon, who recently resigned as commander of the U.S. forces in the region. Some news reports said at the time that Musharraf had "rebuffed" U.S. proposals to step up combat operations inside Pakistan. But U.S. officials and Pakistani sources, who asked for anonymity discussing sensitive information, said the recent wave of Predator attacks are at least partly the result of understandings the high-level visitors reached with Musharraf and other top Pakistanis, giving the United States virtually unrestricted authority to hit targets in the border areas.
lola: Sources say that U.S. Predator strikes inside Pakistan are on the rise since January talks
http://www.newsweek.com/id/128617
The United States has stepped up its use of pilotless planes to strike at Qaeda targets along Pakistan's rugged border area, a measure that in the past drew protests from President Pervez Musharraf but now has his government's tacit approval. Since January, missiles reportedly fired from CIA operated Predator drones have hit at least three suspected hideouts of Islamic militants, including a strike last Sunday on a house in a South Waziristan village called Toog.
The surge began after visits to Pakistan at the beginning of the year by senior U.S. officials, including intelligence czar Mike McConnell, CIA director Gen. Michael Hayden and Adm. William Fallon, who recently resigned as commander of the U.S. forces in the region. Some news reports said at the time that Musharraf had "rebuffed" U.S. proposals to step up combat operations inside Pakistan. But U.S. officials and Pakistani sources, who asked for anonymity discussing sensitive information, said the recent wave of Predator attacks are at least partly the result of understandings the high-level visitors reached with Musharraf and other top Pakistanis, giving the United States virtually unrestricted authority to hit targets in the border areas.
Suspended Mon 24th Mar 1:40pm PDT by 
lesley: Checking sources.
lesley: Checking sources.
Previous action withdrawn Tue 25th Mar 10:16am PDT by lesley: Sorry, you're right, Predator planes are not equivalent to "troops" - mistook them for manned planes.
lesley: Sorry, you're right, Predator planes are not equivalent to "troops" - mistook them for manned planes.
Suspended Thu 4th Sep 6:22am PDT by 
cognos![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: Flagged by super user: I'm gonna suspend "temporarily", until we can determine the 'permission' part of this market.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/09/03/pakistan.attack.afghanistan.deaths/index.html
cognos: Flagged by super user: I'm gonna suspend "temporarily", until we can determine the 'permission' part of this market.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/09/03/pakistan.attack.afghanistan.deaths/index.html
Unsuspended Thu 4th Sep 8:11am PDT by 
infernalmachine: Recent attack does not appear to involve any Pakistani permission.
infernalmachine: Recent attack does not appear to involve any Pakistani permission.
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
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thesloth840Comments (8)
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score: 10
Sydney Morning Herald 17 hours ago
India is not considering military action against Pakistan, Foreign Minister Pranab Mukherjee said Tuesday, the Press Trust of India reported. Mukherjee's comments folllowed a meeting earlier of India's security cabinet, the top decision-making body on
score: 10
Sydney Morning Herald 20 hours ago
India demanded Tuesday that Pakistan hand over several terrorist suspects as the government faced mounting criticism over intelligence failures in the Mumbai attacks that left 188 dead. But Pakistan's prime minister said his government
score: 10
International Herald Tribune 1 day ago
difficult challenges President-elect Barack Obama's national security team faces is Obama's vow to send thousands of American troops to help defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan. Military experts agree that more troops are required to carry out an effective
score: 10
BBC 6 days ago
Last week in Islamabad the prime minister told parliament that unilateral US air strikes on militant targets inside Pakistan had become intolerable and the army chief of staff, on a visit to Brussels, urged Nato to stop them. At the same time a series of
score: 10
Middle East Times 1 week ago
constantly demand that they do more. However, so far, the United States has not been willing to give Pakistan the aid it needs to successfully wage that war. While politicians have attempted to score points at Pakistan's expense by claiming that Pakistan
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meanderingsearcher
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http://www.tfd.com/troops
i believe its definition 2b that applies here. and if u want to parse it, and just use "military unit", the drone may fly over the border but its operator does not. ergo the "unit" as a whole does not operate within pakistan's border, regardless of permission.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/09/03/pakistan.attack.afghanistan.deaths/index.html (market suspended)
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26540375/
So, from the way the question was worded, I'd say the market needs to re-open.
Reason: "Recent attack does not appear to involve any Pakistani permission."
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