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Will Amy Winehouse be refused entry to the USA for the Grammys?

Settled as No

Appearance at the US awards, Amy Winehouse - will she appear?


Settlement details: Report of entry to the USA or performance on USA soil during the Grammy Awards


UNSETTLED:

SETTLEMENT NOTES:
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hVRp92txmKBrPzIYAFrzwNDwkBrwD8UMDC9O2

She got her visa, but she won't go go go.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
95%
No
5%
Activity: H$48,700
Settled as No on Sat 9th Feb 4:56am PST

Suspend date: Sun 10th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 9th Feb 4:56am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jan 1:11pm PST by scoopboy[Admin]
Settled Sat 9th Feb 4:56am PST

Suspend date: Sun 10th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 9th Feb 4:56am PST
more info...

 

Predictions (172)

172 predictions

42 weeks ago
diana predicted No (H$100 at 4%)
42 weeks ago
cakie174 predicted No (H$100 at 3%)
42 weeks ago
meanderingsearcher predicted No (H$50 at 3%)
42 weeks ago
meanderingsearcher predicted No (H$20 at 3%)
42 weeks ago
bruceco predicted No (H$20 at 7%)
more

Comments (17)

  1 azkar
The settlement rules ("Report of entry to the USA or performance on USA soil during the Grammy Awards") don't really seem to jive with the question. Not appearing in the US doesn't automatically mean she was refused entry.
posted 43 weeks ago
  2 bobyn42
Can we get this settled already, please?
posted 42 weeks ago
Appearance at the US awards, Amy Winehouse - will she appear? -- she could appear live via satellite. If she does, then NO is the winning vote. But there is ANOTHER question -- this is actually two poorly written questions that conflict with one another. THe other question is if she will be refused entry to the USA...what does that have to do with her making an appearance? ON top of all of this, AFTER it was annouced that she was denied entry, someone made a HUGE bet for YES.

The entire question should be voided because it is poorly written and that others are betting after the decision is made!
posted 42 weeks ago
  4 txlatina
it's two questions in one...it could have had two answers...but whatever
posted 42 weeks ago
  5 tomtomtom
The "settlement details" make it sound as if the question is meant in a way whether she will make it to the U.S. for the Grammy's or not - in the sense that "refused entry" means she is prevented from attending the Grammy's by not being allowed to enter the United States. (Not being refused entry at some earlier date.) And in this sense the question could not have been settled yet: Grammy's take place on February 10th and Amy Winehouse's producer is still set on making her appear there.
posted 42 weeks ago
  6 tomtomtom
Ok, anyways, since she has now been permanently denied her visa it's settled either way.
posted 42 weeks ago
  7 txlatina
she is coming..meaning she was not denied..what happens now????
posted 42 weeks ago
  8 robmar
To further complicate things, today it's announced that she DID get her visa but "logistics and timing complications" will cause her to miss:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23074123/
posted 42 weeks ago
  9 diana
She got her visa! This was just settled correctly!
posted 42 weeks ago
  10 innoabrd
This wasn't settled according to the rules of the question "Report of entry to the USA or performance on USA soil during the Grammy Awards". She clearly isn't going to perform on US soil or enter the US in time for the Grammy Awards, so the correct settlement should have been Yes. Games can be fun, but only if the rules make sense and are adhered to. Otherwise it's not very interesting. Fun idea, but after two questions being settled like this, I'm done.
posted 42 weeks ago
  11 mozrules
Wow, not only did the question retroactively remove the winnings and deduct money, but now the question description has been changed after the fact to "Appearance at the US awards, Amy Winehouse - will she appear?" which means something entirely different from when I originally answered this one. I think in situations like this, the questions should be VOIDED if the settlement is going to keep changing so drastically. Or at least in the future keep a question open until the original settlement date so you do not have to go through something like this - and not allow people time to cash in, as that option was effectively negated for those who voted yes and thought we had gotten it correct due to settlement payment!
posted 42 weeks ago
  12 jcsedge
I'm with innoabrd. Seems like in situations like this, either everyone should have won (since it _was_ denied, but then granted on appeal) or, barring that, the question should have been voided. Sure, it's fake money and none of this really matters, but it's only fun to play games when they have logical, non-arbitrary rules. Maybe I'll check this site out again in six months or so and see if these problems have gotten ironed out, but for now I think there are more enjoyable ways to waste my time.
posted 42 weeks ago
The question contradicts itself (Will she be refused vs. will she appear). The situation contradicts itself (She WAS refused. It WAS reported. Later the embassy reversed its decision). The situation may yet reverse again as her manager is still pushing her to show up, logistic problems or not. If there is no wrong answer, then there is no right answer and the question screams "VOID ME!".
posted 42 weeks ago
  14 phred
this should be voided
posted 42 weeks ago
This question is the poster child for questions that should be VOIDED....

1) The question was poorly written, it actually contained two contradictory questions.
2) The question was ALTERED after votes had been made.
3) The question was settled before the actual outcome was determined, then reversed.
posted 42 weeks ago
  16 shotcalla
Please void, like mozrules has said!
posted 42 weeks ago
"Appearance at the US awards, Amy Winehouse - will she appear?" She did appear, live via satellite.
posted 41 weeks ago

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