
Will Any of These Top-25 US Newspapers Print a Story, Before the November, 2008, Election, that Quotes John McCain's 'Joke' About Chelsea Clinton?
Joke is reprinted in the NY Daily News today
http://www.nydailynews.com/gossip/2008/07/17/2008-07-17_as_election_nears_a_push_from_john_mccai.html
Background:>
Because her father is Janet Reno."
At the time (June, 2000), the fact that the tasteless joke was made was reported in major newspapers, however the joke itself was not.
Although the Associated Press reported the joke in full, the Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, New York Times, and others, reported that a tasteless joke had been made, but kept the joke itself secret. The Arizona Republic, McCain's hometown paper, was the sole exception, reporting the joke itself.
Will John McCain's increased vetting in the general election cause this buried issue to be reported?
[top 25 newspapers - based on latest circulation figures available]
USA Today
Wall Street Journal
New York Times
Los Angeles Times
Washington Post
New York Daily News
Chicago Tribune
New York Post
Long Island Newsday
Houston Chronicle
San Francisco Chronicle
New York Newsday
Arizona Republic
Chicago Sun-Times
Boston Globe
Atlanta Journal-Constitution
New Jersey Star-Ledger
Minneapolis Star Tribune
Detroit Free Press
Philadelphia Inquirer
Cleveland Plain Dealer
St. Petersburg Times
Portland Oregonian
San Diego Union-Tribune
Denver Post
[Initial likelihood odds set at 50-50. If the "end date" were sooner, I'd have set the likelihood of "No" higher.]
Settlement details:
[Initial likelihood odds set at 50-50. If the "end date" were sooner, I'd have set the likelihood of "No" higher.]
As reported in any of the twenty-five newspapers listed. Both on-line and print editions are acceptable.
The "quote" does not have to be verbatum as written in this question [market], but shall include the words "Chelsea Clinton", "ugly", "Janet Reno" and "father".
Settled
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 17th Jul 2008 11:19am PDT
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Go figure! The New York Daily News printed the joke.
[As reported in any of the twenty-five newspapers listed. Both on-line and print editions are acceptable.]
Winning prediction = "Yes"
<http://www.nydailynews.com/gossip/2008/07/17/2008-07-17_as_election_nears_a_push_from_john_mccai.html>
(market suspended)
http://www.nydailynews.com/gossip/2008/07/17/2008-07-17_as_election_nears_a_push_from_john_mccai.html
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 17th Jul 2008 11:19am PDT
more info...
Predictions (37)
37 predictions
Comments (7)
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31 settled, 6 voided




= )
Oh.
That's it?
= )
http://blogs.trb.com/news/local/longisland/politics/blog/2008/02/past_mccains_old_chelsea_joke.html
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/jun/05/johnmccain.uselections20081>
Media Matters for America reported the joke in full, today...
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