Will Apple release a multi-touch device in a new form factor by 2010?
Current forecast: 74% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 74% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. A larger or smaller iPhone doesn't count. Neither does a traditional laptop with a multi-touch trackpad or screen. It would have to represent a new type of product such as a tablet.
Will Apple release a multi-touch device in a new form factor by 2010?
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Forecast history, %
Make your prediction!
Activity: H$22,614
Question suspends in 51 weeks
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 65%
Action history:
Created Fri 15th Feb 2008 7:27pm PST by
jonb
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)
more info...
Predictions (55)
55 predictions
1 week ago
awills
predicted
No (H$100 at 25%)
1 week ago
ben9
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 75%)
5 weeks ago
kdahl
predicted
No (H$1 at 25%)
16 weeks ago
carroll
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 75%)
17 weeks ago
joaoxxx
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 75%)
more1 week ago
awills
predicted
No (H$100 at 25%)
1 week ago
ben9
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 75%)
5 weeks ago
kdahl
predicted
No (H$1 at 25%)
16 weeks ago
carroll
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 75%)
17 weeks ago
joaoxxx
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 75%)
17 weeks ago
p0tramp
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 75%)
19 weeks ago
woodkey
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 75%)
19 weeks ago
jarrod
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 74%)
19 weeks ago
jarrod
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 74%)
20 weeks ago
krups
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 74%)
20 weeks ago
er_lover
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 74%)
22 weeks ago
kevin
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 74%)
22 weeks ago
pryd
predicted
Yes (H$500 at 73%)
23 weeks ago
youbet
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 73%)
23 weeks ago
marshp3
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 72%)
23 weeks ago
mark0902
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 72%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (1)
http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/08/05/14/intel_exec_vouches_for_atom_based_apple_newton_tablet_report.html
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