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Will Apple release a multi-touch device in a new form factor by 2010?

Current forecast: 75% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 75% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. A larger or smaller iPhone doesn't count. Neither does a traditional laptop with a multi-touch trackpad or screen. It would have to represent a new type of product such as a tablet.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
75%
No
25%
Activity: H$22,414
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Fri 15th Feb 7:27pm PST by jonb
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:36pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (53)

53 predictions

1 day ago
kdahl predicted No (H$1 at 25%)
11 weeks ago
carroll predicted Yes (H$100 at 75%)
12 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted Yes (H$100 at 75%)
12 weeks ago
p0tramp predicted Yes (H$100 at 75%)
12 weeks ago
digitalunderground predicted Yes (H$100 at 75%)
more

Comments (1)

This new Apple Tablet or Newton or whatever they call the new one, should be out by years end or at the latest by MacWorld 2009:

http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/08/05/14/intel_exec_vouches_for_atom_based_apple_newton_tablet_report.html
posted 28 weeks ago

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