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Will Apple release a new phone in 2008?

Current forecast: 21% chance 2%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 21% likely to happen (down 2% in last 1 day)

Yes- apple will produce a new phone which is not called the iphone
No- apple will not produce a new phone

any updates or modifications of the current iphone do not count
it must be entirely new
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
21%
No
79%
Activity: H$31,356
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 28th Feb 7:19pm PST by stephen
Edited Wed 5th Mar 1:04pm PST by chris[Admin]
Clarified Wed 21st May 1:27am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: As per the background we would only settle as a yes if the phone doesn't have the word iPhone in it
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (147)

147 predictions

2 weeks ago
swilly predicted Yes (H$280 at 22%)
3 weeks ago
justdave1 predicted No (H$100 at 79%)
4 weeks ago
owriet predicted No (H$5 at 79%)
6 weeks ago
aniruddhc predicted No (H$100 at 79%)
7 weeks ago
owens predicted No (H$100 at 79%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 skipper[Power User]
what would this be settled as if an "iPhone2" came out or "iPhoneNano" etc?
posted 26 weeks ago
I agree with you "skipper" I had the very same question ... I'm not touching it till w get some clarification.

lucidstates
posted 23 weeks ago
"any updates or modifications of the current iphone do not count
it must be entirely new"

seems pretty clear to me...
posted 21 weeks ago
As per the background we would only settle as a yes if the phone doesn't have the word iPhone in it. I personally think that would be highly unlikely given they are still selling iPods 7 years later.
posted 14 weeks ago

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