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Will Arctic summers be ice-free by 2012?
Current forecast: 15% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 15% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Settlement details:
As reported by New York Times
Make your prediction!
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
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Activity: H$16,893
Question suspends in 2 years
Suspend date: Mon 31st Jan 2011 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 48%
Action history:
Suspend date: Mon 31st Jan 2011 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (65)
65 predictions
rogerkni
predicted No (H$2,000 at 83%)
relet
predicted No (H$50 at 82%)
predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
predicted Yes (H$100 at 44%)
predicted Yes (H$100 at 44%)
mork![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Yes (H$100 at 44%)
foosboy
predicted Yes (H$100 at 43%)
predicted Yes (H$50 at 42%)
predicted No (H$100 at 59%)Comments (2)
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score: 10
Houston Chronicle 16 hours ago
The new century has cooled the case for climate alarmism. Global warming has stalled not accelerated as expected. Greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere have increased, but temperatures have been flat for the last eight years and have slightly
score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 1 day ago
agencies that would lay the groundwork for allowing the U.S. to assert greater sovereignty over the oil-rich Arctic region, people familiar with the matter said. The directive is expected to call on federal agencies to better define the area of the
score: 10
Xinhuanet 1 week ago
global energy consumption, he said. World leaders should plan to reduce the consumption of non-renewable resources, further develop green energy to protect the fragile global climate while striving to revive their national economy and improve people's
score: 10
CBC North 2 weeks ago
Scientists say the Arctic ice is melting much faster than they predicted. Scientists now project that the North Pole and the entire Arctic Ocean could be ice-free during the summer months as early as
score: 10
CBC 2 weeks ago
Global warming and changing winds may mean Santa Claus is going to need a new summer home sooner than expected. Scientists now project that the North Pole and the entire Arctic
Related tags
New in Science » Environment
and Ice on the same day in 2008 looks like this: http://www.natice.noaa.gov/pub/ims_gif/DATA/cursnow_alaska.gif I think the answer is clearly NO..IT WILL NOT. Because we are gaining ice..not losing it.
I got to go with NO on this. We are growing ice..not losing it..Plenty of room for those polar bears. an additional 3 million miles of ice for them to walk on this time over last year
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