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Will Ariane 5 rocket launch on April 18th, 2008?

Settled as Yes

Arianespace will use an Ariane 5 rocket to launch from Kourou, French Guiana the VINASAT 1 satellite for the Vietnam Posts and Telecommunications Corporation and the Brazilian Star One C2 communications spacecraft.
The previous launch of Ariane with ATV "Jules Verne" was on March 9th and was postponed several times.
 
% chance over time
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Settled

Yes
99%
No
1%
Activity: H$41,675
Settled as Yes on Sat 19th Apr 3:20am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 18th Apr 4:15pm PDT

Settlement date: Sat 19th Apr 3:20am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 18th Apr 4:15pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Apr 7:32am PDT by orlin
Settlement requested Fri 18th Apr 3:23pm PDT by orlin: "April 18, 2008

Liftoff of Arianespace’s second Ariane 5 mission in 2008!"

Answer is YES

http://www.arianespace.com/site/news/news_sub_missionupdate_index.html
Suspended Fri 18th Apr 4:15pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 19th Apr 3:06am PDT by orlin: 'Ariane rocket launches satellites'

http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSL1863264020080419
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 19th Apr 3:20am PDT by tisha[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 
13 weeks ago
harveyb predicted No (H$20)
13 weeks ago
brixtolay predicted Yes (H$300)
13 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$20)
13 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$20)
13 weeks ago
knowman predicted Yes (H$50)
13 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted Yes (H$7,528)
13 weeks ago
mistert predicted No (H$75)
13 weeks ago
graphsman predicted Yes (H$20)
13 weeks ago
elly predicted Yes (H$5,000)
13 weeks ago
space_oracle predicted No (H$10)
  1 harveyb
How is "Launch" defined? Does the rocket just have to be ignited and blow up, or does it have to leave the pad in one piece or successfully deliver it's cargo?
posted 13 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
if ignited and blow up it would have been kind of launched.
seriously: I think any attempt to get the rocket up should count as launch in this case.
posted 13 weeks ago

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