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Will Barack Obama win more of the popular vote in the Hawaii caucus than Hillary Clinton?

Settled as Yes

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#HI


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
90%
No
10%
Activity: H$33,604
Settled as Yes on Wed 20th Feb 2008 1:05am PST

Suspend date: Mon 18th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 20th Feb 2008 1:05am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 18th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Mon 11th Feb 2008 3:50am PST by bearguy
Edited Wed 13th Feb 2008 3:52pm PST by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Mon 18th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Mon 18th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Edited Wed 20th Feb 2008 1:05am PST by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Wed 20th Feb 2008 1:05am PST by ryanj[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Wed 20th Feb 2008 1:05am PST by ryanj[Admin]: http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#HI

Suspend date: Mon 18th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 20th Feb 2008 1:05am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 18th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (119)

119 predictions

46 weeks ago
pepe predicted Yes (H$108 at 90%)
46 weeks ago
southaustin predicted Yes (H$50 at 96%)
46 weeks ago
markov predicted No (H$20 at 5%)
46 weeks ago
bzbeeman predicted Yes (H$20 at 95%)
46 weeks ago
bzbeeman predicted Yes (H$50 at 95%)
more

Comments (5)

You spelled "Barack" wrong.
posted 47 weeks ago
  2 ryanj[Admin]
Edited Barrack to Barack.

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
posted 47 weeks ago
  3 oystein
They have a caucus in Hawaii, not a primary...
posted 46 weeks ago
  4 ratel
so is there still a concept of popular vote in a primary?
posted 46 weeks ago
  5 ryanj[Admin]
I'll edit it to caucus but it still means the same thing.
posted 46 weeks ago

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