Will Barry Bonds be convicted of perjury, obstruction of justice or both during a first trial?
Current forecast: Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (51% chance
)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. with a probability of 51% (unchanged in last 1 day)
In November 2007, baseball star Barry Bonds pleaded not guilty to four counts of perjury and one count of obstruction of justice for allegations he lied to a federal grand jury about his use of steroids. Will the first jury to hear the case against Bonds find him guilty?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Will Barry Bonds be convicted of perjury, obstruction of justice or both during a first trial?
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime.
No, he will be found not guilty of all five crimes.
No, the first jury will not be able to agree on a verdict.
No, Bonds will agree on a plea bargain before a jury verdict is reached.
No, prosecutors will drop the charges.
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Forecast history, %
Make your prediction!
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| Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. | | |
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| No, he will be found not guilty of all five crimes. | | |
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| No, the first jury will not be able to agree on a verdict. | | |
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| No, Bonds will agree on a plea bargain before a jury verdict is reached. | | |
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| No, prosecutors will drop the charges. | | |
Activity: H$3,308
Open question (no suspend date)
Suspend date: None
Initial likelihoods:
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime.: 20%, No, he will be found not guilty of all five crimes.: 20%, No, the first jury will not be able to agree on a verdict.: 20%, No, Bonds will agree on a plea bargain before a jury verdict is reached.: 20%, No, prosecutors will drop the charges.: 20%
Action history:
Created Tue 26th Feb 2008 7:44am PST by
peterww
Predictions (22)
22 predictions
14 weeks ago
philphan1
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$20 at 49%)
14 weeks ago
heiser
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$50 at 49%)
34 weeks ago
quorny
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$50 at 50%)
34 weeks ago
fingers_of_fury
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$100 at 48%)
34 weeks ago
mrperfkt![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$500 at 41%)
more14 weeks ago
philphan1
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$20 at 49%)
14 weeks ago
heiser
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$50 at 49%)
34 weeks ago
quorny
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$50 at 50%)
34 weeks ago
fingers_of_fury
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$100 at 48%)
34 weeks ago
mrperfkt![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$500 at 41%)
34 weeks ago
mrperfkt![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$500 at 28%)
41 weeks ago
peterww
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$100 at 28%)
44 weeks ago
peterww
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$100 at 25%)
44 weeks ago
peterww
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$20 at 23%)
45 weeks ago
epicur
predicted
No, the first jury will not be able to agree on a verdict. (H$2 at 15%)
45 weeks ago
nightflylester
predicted
No, Bonds will agree on a plea bargain before a jury verdict is reached. (H$20 at 18%)
45 weeks ago
bitz
predicted
No, Bonds will agree on a plea bargain before a jury verdict is reached. (H$50 at 13%)
45 weeks ago
bitz
predicted
Yes, he will be found guilty of at least one crime. (H$50 at 58%)
45 weeks ago
cplex85
predicted
No, Bonds will agree on a plea bargain before a jury verdict is reached. (H$100 at 21%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (3)
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN1343980420080514
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