Created Fri 4th Apr 2008 11:45pm PST by

Will Barry Bonds be in the starting lineup of a MLB team before the All-Star break of the

Settled as No

Background: Reports that Federal prosecutors have unveiled a revamped indictment against Barry Bonds were a timely reminder that the home run leader still exists and is still unemployed.

Like I have said before, it saddens me that Bonds remains jobless. We are being deprived of a great story and the controversy/pantomime that a Bonds return would undoubtedly entail.

So what are the chances that I will get my wish and when is it likely to happen?

Before the All-star Break?
All-Star break of the 2008 season?

Hubdub says “unlikely” with “No” at 70%. This percentage looks likely to trickle up over the next two months in the absence of any rumored interest in Bonds in the short term.

At any stage in 2008?
This surprises me. Hubdub puts Bonds playing in the Major Leagues in 2008 at 55% as of May 15th. I would imagine that the logic underlying this percentage is that some contending team looking for offensive help will ignore the federal indictments and the distractions and offer Bonds a job.

But 50-50? I for one hope so, but at those odds, I’d opt for No.

by Donal (Sports Ed)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

99%

Settled as No on Sun 13th Jul 2008 11:47am PST

Activity: H$47,816
Predictions: 48
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Sat 12th Jul 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 2008 11:47am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 12th Jul 2008 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Fri 4th Apr 2008 11:45pm PST by

Erik

Suspended Sat 12th Jul 2008 7:59am PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 12th Jul 2008 6:37pm PST by

dieseldog Level 16, Oracle (H$597,606)

: bonds ain't gonna be in the starting lineup on sunday. can't provide a link. its common sense tho.

Settled as 'No' Sun 13th Jul 2008 11:47am PST by

donal

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Predictions (48)

1 year ago

rootehound Level 8, Super-Pro (H$6,154)

predicted No (H$700 at 99%)

1 year ago

bdvcoastal Level 6, Player (H$2,013)

predicted No (H$100 at 96%)

1 year ago

richad Level 1, Newbie (H$1)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)

1 year ago

aland

predicted No (H$500 at 90%)

1 year ago

kylez

predicted Yes (H$45 at 10%)

Comments (2)

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,696,813)

It counts as a "Start" if he is only a DH too? There's no requirement that he play defensivly as well?... I am just feeling out the spirit of the question.

posted 1 year ago

Erik

If he's on the starting lineup card as DH, that's a start. DH is a position.

posted 1 year ago