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Will Barry Bonds be in the starting lineup of a MLB team before the All-Star break of the

Settled as No

Reports that Federal prosecutors have unveiled a revamped indictment against Barry Bonds were a timely reminder that the home run leader still exists and is still unemployed.

Like I have said before, it saddens me that Bonds remains jobless. We are being deprived of a great story and the controversy/pantomime that a Bonds return would undoubtedly entail.

So what are the chances that I will get my wish and when is it likely to happen?

Before the All-star Break?
All-Star break of the 2008 season?

Hubdub says “unlikely” with “No” at 70%. This percentage looks likely to trickle up over the next two months in the absence of any rumored interest in Bonds in the short term.

At any stage in 2008?
This surprises me. Hubdub puts Bonds playing in the Major Leagues in 2008 at 55% as of May 15th. I would imagine that the logic underlying this percentage is that some contending team looking for offensive help will ignore the federal indictments and the distractions and offer Bonds a job.

But 50-50? I for one hope so, but at those odds, I’d opt for No.

by Donal (Sports Ed)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
1%
No
99%
Activity: H$47,816
Settled as No on Sun 13th Jul 12:47pm PDT

Suspend date: Sat 12th Jul 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 12:47pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 12th Jul 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sat 5th Apr 12:45am PDT by Erik
Suspended Sat 12th Jul 8:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 12th Jul 7:37pm PDT by dieseldog: bonds ain't gonna be in the starting lineup on sunday. can't provide a link. its common sense tho.
Settled as 'No' Sun 13th Jul 12:47pm PDT by donal

Suspend date: Sat 12th Jul 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 12:47pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 12th Jul 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (48)

48 predictions

20 weeks ago
rootehound predicted No (H$700 at 99%)
20 weeks ago
bdvcoastal predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
20 weeks ago
richad predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)
20 weeks ago
aland predicted No (H$500 at 90%)
20 weeks ago
kylez predicted Yes (H$45 at 10%)
more

Comments (2)

It counts as a "Start" if he is only a DH too? There's no requirement that he play defensivly as well?... I am just feeling out the spirit of the question.
posted 33 weeks ago
  2 Erik
If he's on the starting lineup card as DH, that's a start. DH is a position.
posted 33 weeks ago

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