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Will Barry Bonds play professional baseball in 2008?

Current forecast: 13% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 13% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Reports that Federal prosecutors have unveiled a revamped indictment against Barry Bonds were a timely reminder that the home run leader still exists and is still unemployed.

Like I have said before, it saddens me that Bonds remains jobless. We are being deprived of a great story and the controversy/pantomime that a Bonds return would undoubtedly entail.

So what are the chances that I will get my wish and when is it likely to happen?

Before the All-star Break?
All-Star break of the 2008 season?

Hubdub says “unlikely” with “No” at 70%. This percentage looks likely to trickle up over the next two months in the absence of any rumored interest in Bonds in the short term.

At any stage in 2008?
This surprises me. Hubdub puts Bonds playing in the Major Leagues in 2008 at 55% as of May 15th. I would imagine that the logic underlying this percentage is that some contending team looking for offensive help will ignore the federal indictments and the distractions and offer Bonds a job.

But 50-50? I for one hope so, but at those odds, I’d opt for No.

by Donal (Sports Ed)
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
13%
No
87%
Activity: H$48,081
Question suspends in 7 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 13th Feb 5:21pm PST by bcguelph
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (81)

81 predictions

3 days ago
fellcolor predicted No (H$860 at 86%)
2 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted No (H$3,000 at 84%)
2 weeks ago
gobrowns73 predicted No (H$50 at 82%)
2 weeks ago
iceman predicted No (H$2,000 at 67%)
5 weeks ago
rgsmith321 predicted No (H$100 at 63%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 mork[Power User]
Please join the HubDubbers Strike! We are protesting the cheater known as "Satyaki" and hubdubs refusal to penalize him for artificially getting himself on the top ladder of the leader boards BY CHEATING!

Please go to these links and post a protest as well and HELP the HubDub Community regain it's integrity!
http://www.hubdub.com/public/contact
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Post your decision at:
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mork (This user: Is On Strike)
posted 22 weeks ago

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