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Will Bono win the Nobel Prize for Peace in 2008?

Current forecast: 18% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 18% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
% chance over time
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Yes
18%
No
82%
Activity: H$17,704
Question suspends in 9 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 1st Nov 11:59pm PDT (9 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%

Action history:

Created Sat 2nd Feb 7:25am PST by peterww
Edited Tue 26th Feb 2:07pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Mon 10th Mar 2:27pm PDT by diana
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

69 predictions

2 weeks ago
s99nj predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
2 weeks ago
paulcroft predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
2 weeks ago
cehills predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
2 weeks ago
canucksfan9 predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
2 weeks ago
justin_hale predicted No (H$50 at 81%)
more

Comments

May want to check the spelling there. Pretty sure he won't win the 1008 one.
posted 29 weeks ago
This is a clear typo. I've fixed it to 2008.
posted 29 weeks ago
DUCKIE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted 23 weeks ago
  4 duckie
sorry. but really, I mean it.
posted 23 weeks ago
  5 pics4d
lol
posted 23 weeks ago
  6 diana
Sorry duckie, I had to delete your comment. Bleep it next time, please!
posted 21 weeks ago

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