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Will Brian Cowen succeed Bertie Ahern as Taoiseach (Irish PM)?

Settled as Yes

After the Irish Media disgracefully hounded Bertie out of office (I'm using a bit of editorial license here), will Biffo be the next Taoiseach (Irish Prime Minister)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
94%
No
6%
Activity: H$5,120
Settled as Yes on Tue 15th Apr 4:18am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 7th May 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 15th Apr 4:18am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 90%

Action history:

Created Wed 2nd Apr 12:06pm PDT by donal
Settled as 'Yes' Tue 15th Apr 4:18am PDT by donal

Suspend date: Wed 7th May 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 15th Apr 4:18am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (3)

3 predictions

34 weeks ago
knowman predicted Yes (H$100 at 94%)
34 weeks ago
donal predicted Yes (H$5,000 at 92%)

Comments (1)

  1 randburg
This is a fine question, but what is the point of betting on a prediction that STARTS at 90%? If the outcome of the question is so certain, why ask it at all? To make a point, this is going to be a bit cynical:

WHY NOT start the odds at 98% and ask for an immediate settlement?
posted 34 weeks ago

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