Created Tue 29th Jan 12:49am PST by
tbyrd
All questions » Politics » 
Will Bush end his term in office with a less than 30% approval rating?
Current forecast: 72% chance

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 72% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com has Bush's current approval average at 34.3%. Will Bush go down as the worst ever President in recent times based on an approval rating of less ten 30%
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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Activity: H$64,749
Question suspends in 7 weeks
Suspend date: Thu 22nd Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%
Action history:
Created Tue 29th Jan 12:49am PST by
tbyrd
Suspend date: Thu 22nd Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
more info...
Predictions (236)
236 predictions
Comments (8)
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score: 10
MSNBC Newsweek 1 day ago
the debate beyond the horizon of the next election to deliver a mandate beyond the desire to escape George Bush. A mandate, that is, for real, fundamental and permanent change. Part of the difficulty here is precisely what Obama means by change. Early in
score: 10
Canada.com 4 days ago
AUG. 31, 2004 In a surprise to precisely no one, the Republicans nominated their sitting leader as their presidential candidate on Aug. 31, 2004. The party's 2004 national convention was less than dramatic, but peppy speeches from Arnold Schwarzenegger
score: 10
National Post 4 days ago
AUG. 31, 2004 In a surprise to precisely no one, the Republicans nominated their sitting leader as their presidential candidate on Aug. 31, 2004. The party's 2004 national convention was less than dramatic, but peppy speeches from Arnold Schwarzenegger
score: 10
National Post 4 days ago
convention audience, which was gathered not far from the former site of the World Trade Center: 'We need George Bush more than ever.' John McCain defended Bush's decision to invade Iraq. Both men were apparently better advocates for Bush than they would
score: 10
ONE News 2 weeks ago
Vergara, the police chief in charge of APEC security, told Reuters on Tuesday. APEC visitors include US President George Bush. In 2002, days before his last Peru visit, the Shining Path blew up a car bomb near the US Embassy in Lima, killing 10 people.




http://uspolitics.about.com/od/polls/l/bl_historical_approval.htm
http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/10/26/poll.congress/index.html
We need a question asking if Bush's approval rating will sink as low as Congress's rating by the end of his term :-)
He has to be in the negative numbers by now, I would think. Of course I think they just were polling Chrissy Mathews over and over again... and Michelle Obama. I was never polled in the last 7.5 years, & I don't know anyone who was polled.
There's been tremendous interest by the public in the box office fate of Oliver Stone's W. for its second weekend in release. Well, it ran out of steam. QED International/Lionsgate's Bush biopic sank 58% to No. 7 with a $5.3M weekend from 2,050 dates and new cume of $18.7M. The $30M negative cost film should end up with $23M domestic box office gross by the end of its North American run. That means, with a $25M P&A investment and Lionsgate's distribution fees, the film won't recoup.
The bash the President film was not very popular! LOL
A little further research led me to a blog which reports his approval rating is just 19%, but I wouldn't rely on it as a settlement source -- http://politics.gearlive.com/filibustersoup/article/q308-the-bush-legacy/
Another report, from Salon.com, Describes Bush as having "approval ratings hovering around 25 percent." -- http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2008/11/26/obama/
Gallup, in a report they released just about a month ago, cites that Bush averaged 29.4% during the penultimate quarter of his presidency, which is up four-tenths from the previous quarter. -- http://www.gallup.com/poll/111280/Bush-Approval-Rating-Doldrums-Continue.aspx
Even though I can't seem to find a recent, firm number from a reliable source, I also can't find any report that even implies he might be at or above 30 points.
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