Created Thu 31st Jan 12:33am PST by

sajs

Will Canada have a parliamentary election in 2008?

Settled as Yes

Election officially called today around 9am EDT.
http://www.insidetoronto.com/news/News/article/55305

Background:

There is a possibility that the conservative government headed by Stephen Harper may call an early election to improve its position or be forced to by the withdrawal of support by other parties.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

Yes

97%

Activity: H$53,777

Settled as Yes on Sun 7th Sep 12:28pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 7th Sep 12:28pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 5:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Thu 31st Jan 12:33am PST by

sajs

Edited Thu 6th Mar 5:44pm PST by

ryanj

Settlement requested Sun 7th Sep 10:14am PDT by

weiyc: Canadian PM calls snap election
Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper has called an early election for 14 October in a bid to strengthen his minority Conservative government.
Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7602864.stm

Suspended Sun 7th Sep 10:32am PDT by

swilson: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Sun 7th Sep 10:32am PDT by

swilson: Prime Minister Stephen Harper calls election per settlement request.
Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7602864.stm (market suspended)

Settled as 'Yes' Sun 7th Sep 12:28pm PDT by

infernalmachine [Admin]

: Election officially called today around 9am EDT.
http://www.insidetoronto.com/news/News/article/55305

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Predictions (79)

79 predictions

12 weeks ago

curios predicted Yes (H$500 at 97%)

12 weeks ago

paulcroft predicted Yes (H$2,000 at 96%)

12 weeks ago

paulcroft predicted No (H$50 at 4%)

12 weeks ago

dragon01 predicted Yes (H$20 at 97%)

13 weeks ago

wyrm predicted Yes (H$3,000 at 97%)

Comments (1)

ratel

come people, this ones easy free money. there are three chances to trigger an election in just the next couple weeks

posted 42 weeks ago

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