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Will China's GDP by the end of 2008 be higher than Germany's GDP (official exchange rate)?

Current forecast: 77% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 77% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Currently Germany is the world's 3rd largest economy. As the chinese growth rate is higher, China could become the new No. 3 during 2008.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
77%
No
23%
Activity: H$6,206
Open question (no suspend date)

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 85%

Action history:

Created Fri 1st Feb 8:21am PST by tobiwan196
Edited Thu 6th Mar 5:43pm PST by ryanj[Admin]

Suspend date: None
more info...

 

Predictions (8)

8 predictions

12 weeks ago
whtimo predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 76%)
14 weeks ago
hanibal predicted Yes (H$100 at 75%)
21 weeks ago
horatiomonty predicted No (H$1,000 at 21%)
22 weeks ago
joelfirenze predicted Yes (H$100 at 83%)
43 weeks ago
doug predicted Yes (H$20 at 85%)

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