Will Cleveland, Oh recieve 10 inches of snow as reported at Cleveland Hopkins Airport on March 8, 2008 by 6PM EST?
The issue with this market is that it can be interpreted in several ways--illustrated in the issues brought up in the comment section of this market. I think the best way to prevent these questions from being voided is to be specific as possible. When you say 10 inches of snow, make sure you state something that indicates "more than 10 inches" or "less than 10 inches"...something to avoid confusion! Thanks for the market though; I am just trying to be fair!
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: None
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%
Action history:
Winning prediction = "No"
Snowfall today from 12:00 AM EST to 6:00pm EST = 8.70 inches.
As reported at Hopkins Airport [KCLE] [CLE]
[note "airport/KCLE" included in link, below]
<http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KCLE/2008/3/8/DailyHistory.html?HideSpecis=0>
[hourly observations included]
(data is of 5:51pm EST -- data for last 9 minutes available at 6:51pm EST - no "minute by minute" data available ;-)
(not to be confused with "Snow Depth", which is accumulated snow)
(see question comments for any clarification/confirmation needed as to the meaning of this question)
source: http://www.woio.com/Global/story.asp?S=7983122
source: http://www.woio.com/Global/story.asp?S=7983122
Suspend date: None
more info...
Predictions (183)
183 predictions
Comments (14)
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http://www.woio.com/Global/story.asp?S=7983122
or do we H$ for multiples of 10 inches?
I disagree with your rational for voiding this question.
Comments 1, 2 and 3, clearly define the question (including your comment.
Comments after that are all concerned, as far as I can tell, with whether or not the question concerned exactly "10.000 inches" of snow, or more than "10.000 inches of snow".
All of those comments are moot, as there was less than ten inches of snow at the reporting location included in the question (see settlement link). There was 8.7" of snow during that period of time at the Cleveland airport weather station.
I request that this question be resettled as of the time of the first settlement request (at 6:00pm EST), voiding all predictions made after that time.
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