Will Clinton beat Obama in the March 4th Democratic Texas Primary?
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/dates/index.html#20080304
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Tue 4th Mar 1am PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Mar 7:06am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Mar 1am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%
Action history:
Suspend date: Tue 4th Mar 1am PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Mar 7:06am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Mar 1am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (503)
503 predictions
Comments (12)
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Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
yikes. but ill take the h$.
never underestimate a clinton's ability to *hold office*!
You are correct that the major media sources are still only "projecting" but they are doing this with 99% of precincts reporting, meaning there is no way for a turn around to occur. On the question of Primary and Caucus. This market asks about the primary not the caucus. All the major news sites like MSNBC and CNN have split the Texas vote into two separate votes, one being the Caucus and the other being the Primary. Hope this helps!
Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
Clinton 65 delegates, Obama 61
Primary = Primary ... Caucus = Causus
Do not confuse the awarding of delegates with one or the other. they are separate issues.
Hillary won the Primary.
Obama Wins Most Texas Delegates
1 hour ago Associated Press
WASHINGTON (AP) — Sen. Barack Obama has won the overall delegate race in Texas thanks to a strong showing in Democratic county conventions this past weekend.
Obama picked up seven of nine outstanding delegates, giving him a total of 99 Texas delegates to the party's national convention this summer. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton won the other two, giving her a total of 94 Texas delegates, according to an analysis of returns by The Associated Press.
<http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5i_QDnA56kHa3qYl41FUYT3PLHJvwD8VOK68O0>
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