Will Colin Powell endorse Barack Obama?

Settlement date is not clearly indicated, so I am guessing:

This prediction SUSPENDS on June 11th and SETTLES on election day in November, unless Colin Powell endorses Obama before that time. Correct?

Suspends on June 1st.

Randburg, as I read it your correct, but as greg said the suspend date is actually the 1st. Besides that market looks healthy and ready for trading.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor

I don't want my hubdub investment tied up for six months with no access...I like bayoubear's questions very much, but we also need to keep hubdub money FLOWING...so that we can invest in MORE bayoubear questions!

It's my opinion that Powell won't endorse Obama, and that will take settlement of this question all the way to the election.

You may be correct, and probably I should have changed the date....but at the time of the question I thought there might really be a chance of it being settled earlier...I'll try to do better next time

Thanks

lol no chance... I saw Colin powell speak at my university (quite the treat!) and he seemed to be fairly conservative... if he had run for president he would have won, but he joked that his wife wouldn't let him lol.

Sorry, but finally when will be suspend date?

Hi elly,

The market suspends in 12 weeks.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor

Thanks Ryan,
so much time....

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20080613.BCPOWELL13/TPStory/National

Not an endorsement, (unless Ryan says it is), but definitely and indication that this market isn't near settled yet.

"an" indication...

i wouldn't read to much into that. If he isn't sure who he's going to vote for he certainly wont be endorsing either one of them.

he may, the Rep. party has treated him badly, and he is one of their best statesmen....he surely won't be joining McCain on the campaign trail...and if he endorses anyone, it will be obama....

He is a conservative man, he's not going to campaign for the most liberal senator ever. Aside from the personal differences in views (from what I've heard colin say) he hopes to run for president some day i think and he would have to do so as a republican.

why is it that every democrat is referred to as "the most liberal senator EVER?" ....are they geting more and more liberal? Really? For reference: Ted Kennedy has been called the most liberal ever, then last election, it was John Kerry.... you say liberal as if it is a bad thing... Liberal:
broad: showing or characterized by broad-mindedness; "a broad political stance"; "generous and broad sympathies"; "a liberal newspaper"; "tolerant ...
having political or social views favoring reform and progress
tolerant of change; not bound by authoritarianism, orthodoxy, or tradition
a person who favors a political philosophy of progress and reform and the protection of civil liberties
big: given or giving freely; "was a big tipper"; "the bounteous goodness of God"; "bountiful compliments"; "a freehanded host"; "a handsome allowance"; "Saturday's child is loving and giving"; "a liberal backer of the arts"; "a munificent gift"; "her fond and openhanded grandfather"
a person who favors an economic theory of laissez-faire and self-regulating markets
free: not literal; "a loose interpretation of what she had been told"; "a free translation of the poem"

CONSERVATIVE:
resistant to change
opposed to liberal reforms
cautious: avoiding excess; "a conservative estimate"
button-down: unimaginatively conventional; "a colorful character in the buttoned-down, dull-grey world of business"- Newsweek
a person who has conservative ideas or opinions
bourgeois: conforming to the standards and conventions of the middle class; "a bourgeois mentality"

Very good, michael. Now, you might want to research the definitions of the terms, "politically conservative" and "politically liberal."
(Here's a hint: It has to do with the Constitution. See: Federalist Papers)

Micheal> being politically conservative has absolutely nothing to do with avoiding excess, being button-down, unimaginatively conventional, having conservative ideas or opinions or conforming to the standards and conventions of the middle class.
It may be worth a bet that this old hippy, with hair down to the middle of his back, is more politically conservative than Ronald Reagan was.

I'm sorry to hear that, while you hold on to your long hair and hippie title, you've left all of the idealism behind...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6avos-ChZfY

@f_o_f LOL - another gem from He-Who-Must-Not-Be-Middle-Named!

I don't know if this indicates anything, but here is a link...

The story starts with "After his speech condemning President George Bush's Iraq and Guantanamo Bay policies Thursday, retired four-star general Colin Powell chowed down with 40 locals ... "
http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/news/westcoastnews/story.html?id=c2a0186b-5990-4272-bb7f-337f0c6fc687&k=29035

See, for me, that's about as much of an endorsement as one can get from Powell. U.S. active duty military members are forbidden by law from criticizing a President. Powell is well aware of his position, the respect that is due him, this law, his own ethics, etc. He's not going to outright do a traditional endorsement a la Gore. (Even Gore endorsed way after the questions was settled. Who does he think he will influence? Republicans?) Instead, if Powell revisits this issue again, it will be after the presidential race is over. And then it will be either, "Obama would have made..." or "Obama will be a...".

lookihttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/25/AR2008062501942.html?hpid=opinionsbox1ng more like Powell may endorse Obama

From article coolkraft shared: The danger for McCain is that desire for a therapeutic electoral bloodbath could get out of control.

Hmmm... so I'm not the only conservative that desires a "therapeutic electoral bloodbath".

oooo boy
That has a nice ring to it.
Too bad this election is going to have to come to an end.

Yeah, this is getting exciting!

Go Colin Powell! (and take Barack with you!)

Colin Powell is one of Obama's advisors on foreign affairs (along with many others) and Obama is, of course, wooing him for an endorsement

I saw this headline and was dissapointed to learn that it had NOTHING to do with King Leonidas his associates and their snappy retorts...

Cast of 300 advises Obama on foreign policy... http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/07/18/america/18advisers.php

"Yes We Can! HA-OOH! HA-OOH! HA-OOH!"

Obama!
Yes my lady?
Come back with your Presidential seal, or on it!
Yes my lady.

"Come Barack, let us reason together. It would be a regrettable waste. It would be nothing short of madness for you, brave king, and your valiant troops to perish. All because of a simple misunderstanding. There is much our campaigns could share."

and while watching election days results..."Unless I miss my guess, we're in for one wild night."

The question I have is does the selection "Powell endorses Obama between June 1 and the Democratic Convention" include the convention time period itself?

I know it sounds picky, but the way I'm reading the answers it seems to indicate:

"June 1 up to the convention start date- Aug 25" and then "after the convention" - Aug 29th and later.

Thanks

Option two would be the correct answer if Powell endorses Obama at the convention. If his endorsement comes after convention then Option 3 would be correct.

Since there are two possible outcomes for this market I am reopening until the election.

Powell's son is on McCain's political team, not gonna happen.

Powell on Meet the Press this weekend.. possible ready to endorse someone?
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/17/powell-ready-to-endorse/

From London Times Online 17 October

"General Colin Powell, the former Secretary of State, is preparing for a live TV interview on Sunday amid intense speculation that he is ready to endorse Barack Obama's presidential campaign. "

conservatism can be simplified to remaining true to the constitution. It does NOT mean being uptight.

btw, Obama is referred to as the most liberal senator ever to run for president because he is the MOST LIBERAL SENATOR to ever run. This is backed up by his votes in the senate where he voted for liberal causes more than anyone else - including ted kennedy. It's not necessarily a bad thing (though I believe its the wrong move) - its just how it is.

I think if Powell were to endorse anyone, it'd be Obama. Race isn't even the presiding factor. Powell has never been on great terms with the Republican party and traditionally Powell was always more left oriented.

breaking news ...

Colin Powell endorses Obama.
more links later.

Colin Powell, former U.S. Secretary of State under President Bush, says he will vote for Barack Obama.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27265369/