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Will Comcast be be forced to stop restricting bandwidth to video and phone services not owned by Comcast in 2008? (REOPENED)

Current forecast: 18% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 18% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
18%
No
82%
Activity: H$11,045
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 23rd Feb 11:54am PST by ringo
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:46pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Settlement requested Thu 27th Mar 12:09pm PDT by ringo: Comcast is now de-restricting Torrents, etc.
Settlement requested Thu 27th Mar 6:43pm PDT by markov: THIS QUESTION SHOULD NOW BE SETTLED >>

Comcast agrees not to interfere with file-sharing
http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/03/27/comcast.bittorrent/index.html

"FCC commissioners have indicated that they take the issue seriously, and commission Chairman Kevin Martin has voiced objections to secret traffic management."

FCC hearings, comments from the Chairman of the FCC that clearly voice a predilection toward stopping the behavior, and negative PR certainly suggest to me that Comcast was "forced" to stop restricting their bandwidth. Since "force" is not defined as an action exclusive to legal remedy and it is clear that Comcast was not about to reverse course on their own I believe this question has been confirmed to have been answereed as "YES".
Settlement requested Thu 27th Mar 6:45pm PDT by markov: THIS QUESTION SHOULD NOW BE SETTLED >>

Comcast agrees not to interfere with file-sharing
http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/03/27/comcast.bittorrent/index.html

"FCC commissioners have indicated that they take the issue seriously, and commission Chairman Kevin Martin has voiced objections to secret traffic management."

FCC hearings, comments from the Chairman of the FCC that clearly voice a predilection toward stopping the behavior, and negative PR certainly suggest to me that Comcast was "forced" to stop restricting their bandwidth. Since "force" is not defined as an action exclusive to legal remedy and it is clear that Comcast was not about to reverse course on their own I believe this question has been confirmed to have been answereed as "YES".
Suspended Fri 28th Mar 4:13am PDT by tomg[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Fri 28th Mar 4:21am PDT by tomg[Admin]: http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/03/27/comcast.bittorrent/index.html

Taking 'forced' to mean take action as a result of external pressure from negative publicitly etc., video services to mean BitTorrent video and phone services to be VoIP (as all Internet traffic affected by being treated equally).
Previous action withdrawn Mon 31st Mar 3:03pm PDT by tomg[Admin]: No action taken as yet, just a verbal announcement. This was settled prematurely. Once action has been taken (e.g. the protocol agnostic network management system mentioned has been deployed) then settlement is possible.
Edited Mon 31st Mar 3:03pm PDT by tomg[Admin]
Edited Mon 31st Mar 3:04pm PDT by tomg[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (36)

36 predictions

5 weeks ago
pwarren78 predicted Yes (H$7 at 18%)
9 weeks ago
alihahd predicted Yes (H$20 at 18%)
18 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted Yes (H$300 at 17%)
33 weeks ago
raym823 predicted Yes (H$50 at 16%)
37 weeks ago
ringo predicted No (H$50 at 84%)
more

Comments (7)

  1 markov
Given what Comcast has been doing to its customers by restricting their bandwidth consumption and pushing others in the industry to do the same under the thin guise of anti-piracy efforts I cannot imagine why anyone would continue to pay Comcast for internet service or anything else. The bottom line is this: Comcast does not want to pay for the additional equipment and technology upgrades necessary to properly service their customers. They'll gladly take their money but when it comes to living up to their end of the transaction if they can get out of it they will.
posted 40 weeks ago
  2 ringo
Some of us have no choice. I cant get DSL and FIOS is not here. I HATE Comcast.
posted 40 weeks ago
  3 markov
It appears the government is finally looking into this:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080225/wr_nm/internet_fcc_dc
posted 40 weeks ago
  4 ringo
SComcast actually confirmed that they hired people to go to court early so complaintants would not be able to get in. What a bunch of scumbags.
posted 39 weeks ago
  5 markov
Comcast's Supporters At FCC Meeting: Paid, Asleep

http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/2/comcasts_supporters_at_fcc_meeting_paid_sleeping_strangers
posted 39 weeks ago
  6 markov
THIS QUESTION SHOULD NOW BE SETTLED >>

Comcast agrees not to interfere with file-sharing
http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/03/27/comcast.bittorrent/index.html

"FCC commissioners have indicated that they take the issue seriously, and commission Chairman Kevin Martin has voiced objections to secret traffic management."

FCC hearings, comments from the Chairman of the FCC that clearly voice a predilection toward stopping the behavior, and negative PR certainly suggest to me that Comcast was "forced" to stop restricting their bandwidth. Since "force" is not defined as an action exclusive to legal remedy and it is clear that Comcast was not about to reverse course on their own I believe this question has been confirmed to have been answereed as "YES".
posted 35 weeks ago
I have posted a topic in the <a href="http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/resettle_comcast_question_or_reopen">Get Satisfaction</a> forum concerning the settlement of this market.
posted 35 weeks ago

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