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Created Tue 29th Jan 11:43pm PST by inkboi
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Will Condelezza Rice be McCain’s Vice Presidential nominee?

Settled as No

Some Suggest Condolezza Will Be McCain's Vice Presidential nominee if he wins.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If he does not win the nomination this question will be voided.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$200,592
Settled as No on Fri 29th Aug 9:34am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 9:34am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 90%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Jan 11:43pm PST by inkboi
Settlement requested Sat 1st Mar 6:15am PST by pup124: Ms. Rice has been on public record stating that she would not accept a nomination for VP and will serve her entire term
Suspended Sat 2nd Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Sat 2nd Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Sat 2nd Aug 8:34am PDT by destry[Admin]: This is an event based market which we will leave open until an announcement is made. No reason to tie up user money when we don't need to.
Clarified Sat 2nd Aug 8:35am PDT by destry[Admin]: This is an event based market which we will leave open until an announcement is made. No reason to tie up user money when we don't need to.
Unsuspended Sat 2nd Aug 8:36am PDT by destry[Admin]: This is an event based market which we will leave open until an announcement is made. No reason to tie up user money when we don't need to.
Suspended Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Fri 29th Aug 9:34am PDT by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 9:34am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (333)

333 predictions

13 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Yes (H$5 at 2%)
13 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 97%)
14 weeks ago
jjth predicted Yes (H$20 at 4%)
14 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted No (H$2,500 at 95%)
14 weeks ago
greyrocker predicted No (H$2,000 at 94%)
more

Comments (14)

  1 ryanj[Admin]
Edited to make the question seem clearer. This will be voided if McCain does not win.
posted 43 weeks ago
  2 cancelledbysbc
It Should Be Pretty Obvious That If McCain Lost The Question Would Be Voided!
thedoctor Are You A Moderater Or A Participant And If You Are A Moderater Should You Really Be Participating (Voting) ?
posted 43 weeks ago
  3 shadowfax
why did this start out at 90%? what news info would justify that? any help appreciated...
posted 43 weeks ago
  4 ryanj[Admin]
Cancelled I'm a Category Editor, covering U.S Politics. It might be obvious to you but I want to make things as clear as possible, so we don't have confusion. Shadow you can start your likelihoods at the highest 95%.
posted 43 weeks ago
  5 dohler
I think shadowfax was questioning whether there is any support for a 90% starting value based on current news reports. Who has suggested this? If it is anyone less than John McCain himself or a powerful GOP insider, a starting value of 90% Yes to this question would seem to be grossly out of line with the available information.
posted 42 weeks ago
  6 swilson
I agree with shadowax and dohler here. In order to justify anything greater than 50%, there would have to be some indication to support that. So far as I am aware, the first to imply this may be a possibility is thedoctor.
posted 41 weeks ago
  7 Erik
I gotta agree. Why in the world would this start at 90%? I won't be a part of this scam!
posted 39 weeks ago
  8 ryanj[Admin]
There are so many bets on this, and as I didn't catch it before more then 150 bets were put on it. Even if it is a gaming market, although there were rumors of a possible VP run by Rice until she denounced it, I'll keep it with such a large amount of votes on it.

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
posted 39 weeks ago
  9 jamalpeter
Now that AP and Reuters are naming Rice among those who authorized torture, I think you can almost settle this one as "No".
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/I/INTERROGATION_TACTICS?SITE=IADES&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
posted 33 weeks ago
  10 mork[Power User]
he might choose this guy:
http://www.canadiandimension.com/blog/2008/05/mccains-spiritual-guide/
posted 29 weeks ago
  11 ironman288
lol mork. that guy was indeed crazy, almost as bad as the good reverend wright!
posted 28 weeks ago
  12 Erik
Rice has said that she has no interest in elective office. Therefore, this should settle as NO, per the spitzer rule
posted 25 weeks ago
  13 mork[Power User]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8G9jA-FGGd8
posted 22 weeks ago
  14 intlibber
If she doesn't accept VP, she's likely looking for 8 more years as Secty of State to establish a long record there that will stay in the history books.
posted 18 weeks ago

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