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Will Construction of $80Billion Electric Power Producing Dam be Approved by the Republic of Congo?

Current forecast: 10% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 10% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

The Grand Inga dam could, if it gets the green light politically and commercially, dwarf China's Three Gorges scheme and increase Africa's power generation by more than one-third.

Unfortunately settlement date is not until 04/15/2014 due to complexity of issue. This is also why I am starting the odds low. Bet large for long term gain!


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
10%
No
90%
Activity: H$4,214
Question suspends in 5 years

Suspend date: Wed 16th Apr 2014 12:59am PDT (5 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 7%

Action history:

Created Mon 21st Apr 11:32am PDT by mork[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 16th Apr 2014 12:59am PDT (5 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (35)

35 predictions

14 weeks ago
pepe predicted Yes (H$3 at 10%)
30 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$20 at 13%)
31 weeks ago
chris[Admin] predicted Yes (H$50 at 13%)
31 weeks ago
tankman predicted Yes (H$50 at 13%)
31 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 13%)
more

Comments (2)

Wow Mork, you just outdid TOCM for the LONGEST question in HubDub history, hahaha :-D
posted 32 weeks ago
Wow $70 pays $650 :-P
posted 32 weeks ago

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