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Will David Cameron be the UK's next Prime Minister?

Background: The tories are gathering support in the wake of Brown's sequence of misfortunes. Can Cameron capitalize and get the top spot in UK politics?

Settlement details:As announced by the BBC after Gordon Brown ceases to be the UK's Premiere.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
85%
No
15%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 12am PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jan 2008 5:07pm PST by tomg[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 12:53pm PST by chris[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 12am PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (180)

2 weeks ago
incredibrain predicted Yes (H$100 at 85%)
3 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 84%)
9 weeks ago
schenz predicted Yes (H$100 at 83%)
9 weeks ago
raptor1217 predicted Yes (H$100 at 83%)
9 weeks ago
orcaceros predicted Yes (H$100 at 83%)

Comments (3)

  1 ryanj
Time Travel is now possible!!!!!!!
posted 1 year ago
Clarification: If Gordon Brown resigns and a current Labour MP becomes PM by default, is this settled as "No"?
posted 1 year ago
  3 paddy112
yes
posted 24 weeks ago

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