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Will Delta and Northwest Airlines merge by June 1, 2008

Settled as No

 
% chance over time
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Settled

Yes
4%
No
96%
Activity: H$109,925
Settled as No on Sun 1st Jun 3:38am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 1:05am PDT

Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 3:38am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Jun 1:05am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Feb 5:07am PST by norman
Edited Thu 6th Mar 1:23pm PST by andrew
Suspended Mon 14th Apr 3:41pm PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: Suspended at user request. Currently investigating recent news.
Settlement requested Mon 14th Apr 9:08pm PDT by scott: http://www.kutv.com/content/news/local/story.aspx?content_id=b513981a-403c-4679-9c0c-ddeae2f5171e

Delta Air Lines has reached an agreement with Northwest Airlines to take over Northwest and create the world's biggest carrier.
Unsuspended Tue 15th Apr 11:44am PDT by andrew: Descision reached.
Settlement requested Tue 15th Apr 1:02pm PDT by akbeast: they announced merger today.
Suspended Sun 1st Jun 1:05am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sun 1st Jun 3:38am PDT by andrew: http://www.nwa.com/
http://www.delta.com/home/index.jsp?noFlash=true
still seperate operations
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

11 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 92%)
11 weeks ago
imsi predicted No (H$640 at 90%)
12 weeks ago
kgholderman predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
12 weeks ago
mikeyboy75 predicted Yes (H$100 at 10%)
12 weeks ago
swilson[Power User] predicted No (H$2,000 at 89%)
more

Comments

  2 cognos[Power User]
let's not mess this up, ala SpitzerGate.

Does announcing the plans to merge count as Yes?
Or do the companies have to merge by an active stock/cash swap?
Or do we wait for the combined company to announce they are now merged?
posted 18 weeks ago
  3 cognos[Power User]
I thought 'mergers' we're in the rules on getsatifaction.com, but I couldn't find it. Does it exist? Please let me know.
posted 18 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
I think this is going to get hairy. The question specifically asks will they merge, not will they announce a merger. So then we have to ask ourselves does an announcement mean there is 99.9% the merge will be completed. I think if we look at other airline announcements of mergers and thier track history. If I had to vote on this now I would say that an announcement should NOT settle this question. I believe with all the pilot unions and different problems that could complicate the merge it isn't 99.9% possible.
posted 18 weeks ago
  5 destry[Admin]
I flagged and requested suspension until the matter could be resolved.
posted 18 weeks ago
  6 andrew
Escalated to Get Satisfaction for discussion.

http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/delta_and_nwa_merger_settlement

Andrew
Business Category Manager
posted 18 weeks ago
  7 gregmatta
If I said I'd like to win the lottery, does that mean I'll win the lottery. Merge is the actual stock transfer.
posted 18 weeks ago

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