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Will Fidel Castro still be President of Cuba at the end of 2008?

Settled as No

http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/americas/02/19/castro/index.html

Background:


Settlement details: per a reputable source

Settled on announcement of Castro's death or of him officially/formally stepping down.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
10%
No
90%
Activity: H$28,075
Settled as No on Tue 19th Feb 1:17am PST

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 12am PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 19th Feb 1:17am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 19th Feb 12:55am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 17th Jan 5:50pm PST by donal
Settlement requested Tue 19th Feb 12:08am PST by destry[Admin]: http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/americas/02/19/castro/
Settlement requested Tue 19th Feb 12:57am PST by fryender: castro resigned from office.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,536177,00.html

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 12am PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 19th Feb 1:17am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 19th Feb 12:55am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (100)

100 predictions

41 weeks ago
ddlv predicted No (H$50 at 90%)
41 weeks ago
rockinrob predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
41 weeks ago
melmel07 predicted No (H$100 at 65%)
43 weeks ago
nacho predicted No (H$20 at 52%)
43 weeks ago
dreiundzwanzig predicted No (H$20 at 53%)
more

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