Will France be the first country to boycott the Olympic Opening Ceremony or the Games?

Suspend date: Sun 3rd Aug 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 9th Aug 3:39am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 3rd Aug 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Tue 25th Mar 8:43am PDT by meanderingsearcher

Edited Tue 25th Mar 8:50am PDT by ryanj

Clarified Tue 25th Mar 9:04am PDT by ryanj: The market asks about a specific country while also asking about both the symbolic ceremonies and the actual games. It isn't a similar duplicate because of this.

Settlement requested Thu 27th Mar 2:07pm PDT by meanderingsearcher: Polish Premier Skips Olympic Opening to Protest Tibet
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601095&sid=aHhXLAzSqu0c&refer=east_europe

Suspended Thu 27th Mar 4:13pm PDT by donal

Unsuspended Thu 27th Mar 4:41pm PDT by donal

Suspended Sun 3rd Aug 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 7th Aug 9:56pm PDT by orlin: France does not boycott the openining ceremony nor the games.

Settlement requested Sat 9th Aug 2:39am PDT by orlin: Answer is no.

Settled as 'No' Sat 9th Aug 3:39am PDT by mrperfkt: France did not boycott Opening Ceremony or games.

Suspend date: Sun 3rd Aug 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 9th Aug 3:39am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 3rd Aug 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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