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Will General Motors produce a Chevy Volt for retail sale by 1 August 2009?

Current forecast: 42% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 42% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Seventy-eight percent of commuters drive 40 miles or less to and from work. Imagine: A 40 mile daily commute without a drop of gas.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
42%
No
58%
Activity: H$16,570
Question suspends in 34 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 1st Aug 2009 12:59am PDT (34 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Created Mon 28th Jan 8:22pm PST by jgrimaldi

Suspend date: Sat 1st Aug 2009 12:59am PDT (34 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (54)

54 predictions

2 hours ago
raym823 predicted Yes (H$50 at 42%)
17 hours ago
frogchop predicted No (H$20 at 58%)
1 day ago
manoogs predicted No (H$100 at 58%)
1 week ago
fellcolor predicted No (H$1,000 at 56%)
1 week ago
axollot predicted Yes (H$20 at 47%)
more

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