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Will George Bush launch a military attack on Iran before the November elections?

Settled as No


Settlement details: By November 4th 2008 the US would have to

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
1%
No
99%
Activity: H$87,229
Settled as No on Tue 4th Nov 10:25pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:25pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 1st Feb 7:45am PST by zzaveri
Edited Tue 26th Feb 1:07pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Tue 26th Feb 1:08pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:33pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 10:20pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Tue 4th Nov 10:20pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction = "No"

No military attack on Iran took place before the November election. (market suspended)
Settled as 'No' Tue 4th Nov 10:25pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:25pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (180)

180 predictions

3 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$4,000 at 98%)
3 weeks ago
ravinglibdem predicted No (H$1,023 at 98%)
3 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$4,000 at 97%)
3 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted No (H$350 at 96%)
3 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted No (H$8,000 at 98%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 harveyb
Settlement rules appear to be incomplete
posted 43 weeks ago
  3 kruijs[Power User]
'Dutch Spy Recalled from Iran on US Attack Plan'
http://www.nisnews.nl/public/300808_4.htm
posted 13 weeks ago

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