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Will George W. Bush serve the remainder of his term?

Current forecast: 97% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 97% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

impeachment and conviction? resignation? assassination? death? major health event renders him "incapacitated."

(temporary incapacitation will not count--he will have to be removed from office under the 25th amendment)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
97%
No
3%
Activity: H$12,373
Question suspends in 7 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 90%

Action history:

Created Fri 22nd Feb 7:31am PST by phred
Edited Tue 11th Mar 6:17am PDT by ryanj[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (18)

18 predictions

2 weeks ago
andrewpmk predicted Yes (H$16 at 97%)
4 weeks ago
absfiechter predicted Yes (H$30 at 97%)
7 weeks ago
bilalownsu predicted Yes (H$50 at 97%)
18 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Yes (H$20 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 97%)
more

Comments (2)

http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fullcomment/archive/2008/11/29/conrad-black-a-rather-successful-president-with-some-serious-achievements-under-his-belt.aspx

Conrad Black: A 'rather successful' president with some serious achievements under his belt
The U.S. annual economic growth rate has been 2.2% through this presidency, the highest of any advanced country, and the economy expanded 19% in this time, well ahead of other large economies. The same pattern was replicated in per-capita income and spending, investment of all kinds and unemployment, which ran at half a percent below the average of the Clinton years and three full points below the Eurozone.

...

posted 2 days ago
The economy like a stomach full of turkey on Thanksgiving day it expands....but then after a little snooze...and the food has digested, or the economy has had the opportunity to digest the financial losses of various turkey parts on the table..you get the turkey farts....and our economy is now having a major case of them!
It will take Wall Street a lot longer before it passes all the sh..... to the middle class this time... they may just have to call in Joe the plumber!
posted 1 day ago

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