
Will Google Make An Offer For Yahoo To Challenge Microsofts Bid?
http://www.reuters.com/article/internetNews/idUSWEN541420080504
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
This is settled if Google makes an offer before Microsoft buys Yahoo.
It is not dependent on the acceptance of Googles Offer, only that one is made.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 4th May 12:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 3rd May 8:35am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 4th May 12:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 3rd May 8:35am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (408)
408 predictions
Comments (10)
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MS or Google isn't going to let it go that long.
I figure that Yahoo, while failing as a business model currently, it is a very valuable asset for anyone to have, but really a "must have" asset for MS, they know it and Google knows it...it would make for a great coup if Google did buy Yahoo!
If I was Google I'd be going for it, if only to generate news and hype and to tick Bill Gates off a little more! But that's me and I'm a sadist when it comes to MS/Google battles! ;)
The deal if realized (msft buys yhoo) will end up like Xerox' $1 billion purchase of Scientific Data Systems in 1969 and AT&T's $7.5 billion purchase of NCR in 1991.
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/02/04/how-google-could-keep-yahoo-from-microsoft/?ref=technology
Guess the old adage "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" still works in the Internet Age...
And I doubt this would be settled prior to 12/31/2008. Even if Yahoo says "yes" to MS, it would go through 8-12 months of review. During that time, Google could make an offer. Similarly, if the MS/Yahoo deal did close, Google could still make an offer (however that is defined ) for Yahoo.
glad to read I wasn't too far off regarding the actual physical "offer" being less than a 50/50 start point.
notice the immediate drop on the graph?
an alliance now, that may be a possible 50/50 start. yup, this one has got to void and be re-worded etc.
2.3.4 Business Category
* For questions with regards takeovers an ‘offer’ is defined as public or private offer to buy the target company. Offers of assistance do not count.
Shadowfax, you are a brilliant thinker, hehe, I like how you tied MSFT's purchasing YHOO to Xerox/SDS and AT&T/NCR :-D This merger will be a disaster for MSFT and that is why I am 100% for it! Hahaha, DOWN WITH THE EVIL EMPIRE!!! I hate Microsoft and I live in Seattle (across the water from Redmond) and I have an Apple Sticker on my car, hahaha, eat that Microsuck!! ... Seriously though, this deal will do serious damage to MSFT and though it will do damage to YHOO too, which is unfortunate, WAR does have a cost and so the sacrifice must be Yahoo, but as long as MSFT suffers, I am all for it and thus I am also hoping for an even more expensive takeover, I hope it tops $50 billion, thus causing MSFT even more long term pain :-D
Statistics of large mergers are terrible! Less then 10% of all jumbo mergers ever work out and most cause a severe loss problem for the companies within 5 years!
lucidstates
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