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Will Google become a national wireless provider in the year 2008?

Current forecast: 10% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 10% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

AT&T Inc., Verizon Wireless and Google Inc. are among the companies expected to bid for prized radio-airwave licenses in an auction federal regulators hope will give consumers more freedom to choose what wireless services they buy and how they use them.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
10%
No
90%
Activity: H$39,082
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Jan 7:56am PST by beetlespace
Suspended Thu 28th Feb 12pm PST : Suspend date reached
Edited Sat 1st Mar 4:53am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Edited Mon 10th Mar 2:23pm PDT by diana
Settlement requested Thu 20th Mar 4:02pm PDT by lucidstates: The bidding JUST ended, Google did NOT win any whatsoever. AT&T, Verizon, Frontier Wireless and Qualcomm, all won parts of the auction, the report says that Google did not win anything as its bid was considered "too low."
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080320/ap_on_bi_ge/airwaves_auction_winners;_ylt=AhHY9n8557AYQYwA_oGtW2KyBhIF
Settlement requested Fri 21st Mar 7:41am PDT by jamalpeter: I believe this question can be settled based on the outcome of the U.S.'s 700 MHZ Auction, that being Verizon becoming the winner and Google gaining NO licenses.

However, if the question is asking whether Google will acquire Clearwire or Sprint, then it may have life in it.
Clarified Fri 21st Mar 8:52am PDT by tomg[Admin]: Even though Google lost the bid, this is still too early to call.
Settlement requested Mon 24th Mar 10:40am PDT by tarheelv: The auction for the spectrum is over and Google did not win any of their bids.

http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/default.htm?job=auction_summary&id=73

And click on view auction results

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (173)

173 predictions

1 week ago
goodpasture predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
3 weeks ago
pascal_charest predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
3 weeks ago
capecodviking predicted Yes (H$10 at 10%)
4 weeks ago
codfight predicted No (H$50 at 90%)
8 weeks ago
cyberiapark predicted Yes (H$1 at 13%)
more

Comments (2)

This question suspends on Feb 28th, but the question is resolved by an event that may not happen until late 2008, if at all. Does this mean that whatever wager I put on this question is 'stuck' until either the end of 2008 or Google launches a wireless service?
posted 41 weeks ago
Suspend date has been extended to the end of the year
posted 39 weeks ago

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