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Will Google become a national wireless provider in the year 2008?

Current forecast: 20% chance 1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 20% likely to happen (up 1% in last 1 day)

AT&T Inc., Verizon Wireless and Google Inc. are among the companies expected to bid for prized radio-airwave licenses in an auction federal regulators hope will give consumers more freedom to choose what wireless services they buy and how they use them.
 
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Yes
20%
No
80%
Activity: H$30,610
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Jan 7:56am PST by beetlespace
Suspended Thu 28th Feb 12pm PST : Suspend date reached
Edited Sat 1st Mar 4:53am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Edited Mon 10th Mar 2:23pm PDT by diana
Settlement requested Thu 20th Mar 4:02pm PDT by lucidstates: The bidding JUST ended, Google did NOT win any whatsoever. AT&T, Verizon, Frontier Wireless and Qualcomm, all won parts of the auction, the report says that Google did not win anything as its bid was considered "too low."
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080320/ap_on_bi_ge/airwaves_auction_winners;_ylt=AhHY9n8557AYQYwA_oGtW2KyBhIF
Settlement requested Fri 21st Mar 7:41am PDT by jamalpeter: I believe this question can be settled based on the outcome of the U.S.'s 700 MHZ Auction, that being Verizon becoming the winner and Google gaining NO licenses.

However, if the question is asking whether Google will acquire Clearwire or Sprint, then it may have life in it.
Clarified Fri 21st Mar 8:52am PDT by tomg[Admin]: Even though Google lost the bid, this is still too early to call.
Settlement requested Mon 24th Mar 10:40am PDT by tarheelv: The auction for the spectrum is over and Google did not win any of their bids.

http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/default.htm?job=auction_summary&id=73

And click on view auction results
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (154)

154 predictions

2 weeks ago
genjamin predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
2 weeks ago
achew22 predicted No (H$500 at 80%)
2 weeks ago
pepe predicted No (H$100 at 80%)
3 weeks ago
sirch predicted No (H$100 at 80%)
3 weeks ago
spurt34 predicted No (H$10 at 80%)
more

Comments (2)

This question suspends on Feb 28th, but the question is resolved by an event that may not happen until late 2008, if at all. Does this mean that whatever wager I put on this question is 'stuck' until either the end of 2008 or Google launches a wireless service?
posted 28 weeks ago
Suspend date has been extended to the end of the year
posted 26 weeks ago

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