Created Wed 16th Apr 2008 8:49am PST by

tomg

Will Gordon Brown resign before the end of Aug 2008?

Settled as No

Still Prime Minister

Background:

Background: Gordon Brown's reputation for sound economic management is being eroded in the recent spat of coverage on the credit crunch and associated economic difficulties. Will this fall in his approval ratings continue and the resulting pressure prove too much for him?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

100%

Settled as No on Mon 1st Sep 2008 10:20am PST

Activity: H$155,352
Predictions: 132
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sun 31st Aug 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 2008 10:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 31st Aug 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 16th Apr 2008 8:49am PST by

tomg

Suspended Sun 31st Aug 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 2008 7:37am PST by

newswrangler [Power User]

: Winning prediction = "no".

Prime Minister Brown is still Prime Minister...

<http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a8YbVKRgaWtE&refer=home>

Settled as 'No' Mon 1st Sep 2008 10:20am PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: Still Prime Minister

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Predictions (132)

1 year ago

ashok

predicted No (H$300 at 100%)

1 year ago

djcorky Level 1, Newbie (H$1,011)

predicted No (H$100 at 98%)

1 year ago

void

predicted No (H$100 at 98%)

1 year ago

rbrog77 Level 15, Seer (H$278,949)

predicted No (H$5,689 at 98%)

1 year ago

saulorleans Level 2, Novice (H$1,060)

predicted No (H$100 at 98%)

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