Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,337108,00.html
The article states, and almost all the other articles state that the resignation is effective on Monday, not on 3/12/08
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
I cut the suspend time to 8:59 EST, Wed March 12th, 2008 so we can all sit back and watch the 10 o'clock news.
The Governor has not stated he will resign on March 12th. He has said that his resignation will be effective next Monday. This means that no resignation has occurred on the 12th (Won't settle until after 23:59). I know some may not like this decision (looking at the odds), but the market does not state a announcement of resignation but "resign."
- Activity: H$148,393 |
- Predictions: 206 |
Comments: 64
Suspend date: Wed 12th Mar 2008 5:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 13th Mar 2008 2:48am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 12th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%
Action history:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_re_us/spitzer_prostitution_118;_ylt=AmcOmo7XGQL_SFaULWdxj6eC6etF
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/03/12/spitzer/index.html
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_re_us/spitzer_prostitution_128;_ylt=ArKMHrCQIAT_s0bvTvkZzpuC6etF
This says that he has resigned!
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_re_us/spitzer_prostitution
http://biz.yahoo.com/portfolio/080312/dcr3acbbea378f7461ae91a11649b686a8b.html
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/eliot-spitzer-resigns-new-york/story.aspx?guid=%7B09DDEA39%2DF5EE%2D4D1A%2D8C5F%2DA34EC0505308%7D&siteid=bnb
the link:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_re_us/spitzer_prostitution;_ylt=ApTOqnpcM_XitrR62sxtQv.s0NUE
http://www.ny.gov/governor/press/resignation.pdf
Winning prediction = "No".
The article states, and almost all the other articles state that the resignation is effective on Monday, not on 3/12/08
The article states, and almost all the other articles state that the resignation is effective on Monday, not on 3/12/08
Suspend date: Wed 12th Mar 2008 5:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 13th Mar 2008 2:48am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 12th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (206)
Comments (64)
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http://www.nypost.com/seven/03112008/news/regionalnews/sources__spitzer_likely_to_resign_tomorr_101473.htm
I hope his announcement is what these questions settle at. To actually resign takes some time, yes?
not sure in these matters...
The Jon Stewart comment had me laughing big time. I was thinking that when he was up there so angry.
Also, how does his wife get dragged up stage like that? The humiliation of this is not enough. she has to stand there. As The Daily show pointed out, the person standing next to him during that announcement should be the Escort that he hired. thats who the people want to see. Really. Its true. I am just the messenger.
but i think jefferson pre-dates him?
Cheers,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
Gov. Spitzer Resigns -- Effective Monday
ALBANY, N.Y. (1010 WINS/AP) -- New York Governor Eliot Spitzer has resigned -- effective Monday. Spitzer says he will turn over the governor's post to Lieutenant Governor David Paterson, who will become New York's first black governor. Spitzer's resignation completes a stunning fall from power after he was nationally disgraced by links to a high-priced prostitution ring. His involvement as a customer was caught on a federal wiretap as part of an investigation opened in recent months.
He HAS resigned. It's just effective monday.
The question is "Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?"
That is a yes.
If this question is not settled yes then I am done with HubDub. This is ridiculous.
If we can get as many people putting their points of view up on the discussion it would be great. In the sense that better future markets can be made via user input.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
By MICHAEL M. GRYNBAUM
Published: March 12, 2008
"Gov. Eliot Spitzer, whose rise to political power as a fierce enforcer of ethics in public life was undone by revelations of his own involvement with prostitutes, resigned on Wednesday, becoming the first New York governor to leave office amid scandal in nearly a century.
The resignation will be effective on Monday, and Lt. Gov. David A. Paterson will be sworn in to replace him."
If hubdub is going to make settlements based on major news sources and settle this as a 'No' , then someone needs to tell the NY Times they don't know what they are talking about. It clearly states, resigned today, to be effective Monday.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/12/nyregion/12cnd-resign.html?bl&ex=1205467200&en=823faf9a1e1c976c&ei=5087
first, i think all predictions made after the announcement at about 11:30 EST should be voided. second, maybe hubdub can do this: pick which side they support in this argument and then award then the H$ as if they won, while voiding the predictions of the losing side so that no one loses money on semantics
Not when its EFFECTIVE when will he RESIGN.
Any dope can do this logic.
http://www.tfd.com/resign
"v.tr.
2. To give up (a position, for example), especially by formal notification.
3. To relinquish (a privilege, right, or claim).
v.intr.
To give up one's job or office; quit, especially by formal notification"
seeing that he has yet to give up the office, he has not fulfilled both parts of the definition of resigning.
words mean things, and thats where the dictionary comes in. perhaps someone can find a dictionary that defines "resign" as just providing notification of intent? until then, looks like this one was settled correctly.
The questions SHOULD be written more carefully. That's been an ongoing problem.
However THIS question was written very well and very clearly.
"Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?"
The answer is that he resigned his office on 3/12/08, and will officially be leaving on the 17th. You CAN resign a position an leave at a later date.
DO NOT try to add onto a clear question as some are trying to do. I can cite a TON of news stories today that he RESIGNED TODAY.
This is the question. Those who are arguing otherwise either have money riding the wrong way or just poor reasoning skills.
http://www.ny.gov/governor/press/resignation.pdf
"words mean things, and thats where the dictionary comes in. perhaps someone can find a dictionary that defines "resign" as just providing notification of intent? until then, looks like this one was settled correctly."
yes words have meanings but in general speaking terms (The whole language as it is today most commonly used) would generally be taken as he has already resigned. I think the only reason there is any issue is becasue some people are arguing for which way they voted instead of what they think is actually right ;)
Also when you quit your job and give 2 weeks notice, on your next application what dates do you put as the dates you worked with the company? Obviously your first and last day at the company.. (that was simple)
Lets see if you can back up your talk. Put your money where your mouth is.
When you get a SIMPLE question as "Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?" and there are 1000 news orginazations that say HE DID then why are we even arguing?
http://www.ny.gov/governor/press/resignation.pdf
"but the headlines all say it" = "dewey beats truman!"
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