Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?

Settled as No

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,337108,00.html

The article states, and almost all the other articles state that the resignation is effective on Monday, not on 3/12/08

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
I cut the suspend time to 8:59 EST, Wed March 12th, 2008 so we can all sit back and watch the 10 o'clock news.

The Governor has not stated he will resign on March 12th. He has said that his resignation will be effective next Monday. This means that no resignation has occurred on the 12th (Won't settle until after 23:59). I know some may not like this decision (looking at the odds), but the market does not state a announcement of resignation but "resign."

 
Forecast history %
Yes
64%
No
36%
Settled as No on Thu 13th Mar 2008 2:48am PST

Suspend date: Wed 12th Mar 2008 5:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 13th Mar 2008 2:48am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 12th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Tue 11th Mar 2008 5:39pm PST by myunion
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 6:04am PST by Erik: He will resign effective monday according to AP:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_re_us/spitzer_prostitution_118;_ylt=AmcOmo7XGQL_SFaULWdxj6eC6etF
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 7:49am PST by orlin: New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer today announced his resignation after allegations of his involvement in a prostitution ring.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/03/12/spitzer/index.html
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 7:51am PST by Erik: He announced that his is resigning Mondaym. Therefore, this must be settled as "No":
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_re_us/spitzer_prostitution_128;_ylt=ArKMHrCQIAT_s0bvTvkZzpuC6etF
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 8:06am PST by Erik: The answer is "No"...Quoted from Spitzer: "For this reason, I am resigning from the office of governor. At Lt. Gov. Paterson’s request, the resignation will be effective Monday, March 17, a date that he believes will permit an orderly transition." http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/12/full-text-of-spitzer-resignation/"
Edited Wed 12th Mar 2008 8:14am PST by ryanj
Clarified Wed 12th Mar 2008 8:14am PST by ryanj: The Governor has not stated he will resign on March 12th. He has said that his resignation will be effective next Monday. This means that no resignation has occurred on the 12th (Won't settle until after 23:59). I know some may not like this decision (looking at the odds), but the market does not state a announcement of resignation but "resign."
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 8:33am PST by michaelj: According to AP Spitzer tenedered his resignation today 3/12/08
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 9:19am PST by smidge76: He announced his resignation today. He will be replaced on Monday by the Lt. Gov.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_re_us/spitzer_prostitution
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 9:33am PST by rightorwrong: It happened

http://biz.yahoo.com/portfolio/080312/dcr3acbbea378f7461ae91a11649b686a8b.html
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 10:30am PST by yorgen123: Spitzer resigned today. His resignation will be effective on 3/17, however he did resign today.

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/eliot-spitzer-resigns-new-york/story.aspx?guid=%7B09DDEA39%2DF5EE%2D4D1A%2D8C5F%2DA34EC0505308%7D&siteid=bnb
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 10:40am PST by yorgen123: The question is "will he resign on 3/12?" not "what will his last day in office be?"
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 11:30am PST by lucidstates: Elliot Spitzer just resigned.
the link:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080312/ap_on_re_us/spitzer_prostitution;_ylt=ApTOqnpcM_XitrR62sxtQv.s0NUE
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 12:18pm PST by belarusia: He announced that his is resigning Monday March 17th. Therefore, this must be settled as "No":
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 4:04pm PST by yorgen123: From Wikipedia: A resignation is the formal act of giving up or quitting one's office or position. Spitzer announced today that he is leaving office, when he leaves office is irrelevant.
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 5:07pm PST by belarusia: Governor Spitzer's resignation letter clearly states he is resigning on March 17.
http://www.ny.gov/governor/press/resignation.pdf
Suspended Wed 12th Mar 2008 5:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 12th Mar 2008 5:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 9:50pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: It's March 13th in the Eastern Time Zone -- New York... and Spitzer didn't [effectively] resign yesterday.

Winning prediction = "No".
Settlement requested Wed 12th Mar 2008 11:27pm PST by epicur: Based upon your settlement rules, it is after 2359 PST and Governor Elliot Spitzer has not resigned. Please settle as "no." Thanks.
Settled as 'No' Thu 13th Mar 2008 2:47am PST by ryanj: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,337108,00.html

The article states, and almost all the other articles state that the resignation is effective on Monday, not on 3/12/08
Previous action withdrawn Thu 13th Mar 2008 2:48am PST by ryanj
Settled as 'No' Thu 13th Mar 2008 2:48am PST by ryanj: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,337108,00.html

The article states, and almost all the other articles state that the resignation is effective on Monday, not on 3/12/08

Suspend date: Wed 12th Mar 2008 5:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 13th Mar 2008 2:48am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 12th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (206)

2 years ago
buckmaster predicted Yes (H$100 at 42%)
2 years ago
sgall predicted Yes (H$50 at 50%)
2 years ago
ariphron predicted Yes (H$100 at 27%)
2 years ago
kevin predicted Yes (H$100 at 43%)
2 years ago
djmassey predicted No (H$100 at 56%)

Comments (64)

  1 myunion
Thanks to inessa21 for the orginal question.
posted 2 years ago
  2 inessa21
;)
posted 2 years ago
  3 inessa21
Spitzer will resign on 3/12/08 according to this latest report:

http://www.nypost.com/seven/03112008/news/regionalnews/sources__spitzer_likely_to_resign_tomorr_101473.htm
posted 2 years ago
  4 myunion
We'll I saw a post reminding people that everyone thought Marrion Barry would step down too. Does anyone really know what this guy is thinking? I would have thought he would have stepped down as soon as it broke but maybe he's another Senator Craig.
posted 2 years ago
the dynamic has shifted, post-craig. some might say post-jefferson.
posted 2 years ago
  6 owl1
Maybe post-Vitter, oh, wait, he's still in office. Shouldn't someone ask him to resign?
posted 2 years ago
  7 myunion
I think "The Daily Show with Jon Stewart" summed it up. "He's mad at me for this?" I think is the sound bite for this.
posted 2 years ago
  8 bayoubear[Admin]
Will announcing his resignation count, even if it's not effective until Monday?
posted 2 years ago
  9 shadowfax
great point to clarify bayoubear.
I hope his announcement is what these questions settle at. To actually resign takes some time, yes?
not sure in these matters...
The Jon Stewart comment had me laughing big time. I was thinking that when he was up there so angry.
Also, how does his wife get dragged up stage like that? The humiliation of this is not enough. she has to stand there. As The Daily show pointed out, the person standing next to him during that announcement should be the Escort that he hired. thats who the people want to see. Really. Its true. I am just the messenger.
posted 2 years ago
  10 jake
If he just announces his resignation effective Monday the settlement in this case should be no. He isn't resigning today.
posted 2 years ago
haha! i forgot all about vitter.

but i think jefferson pre-dates him?
posted 2 years ago
  12 ryanj
The Governor has not stated he will resign on March 12th. He has said that his resignation will be effective next Monday. This means that no resignation has occurred on the 12th (Won't settle until after 23:59). I know some may not like this decision (looking at the odds), but the market does not state a announcement of resignation but "resign."

Cheers,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 2 years ago
  13 donal
I agree Ryan. He has announced his resignation and until he resigns on 3/17 he remains Governor.

posted 2 years ago
  14 bayoubear[Admin]
Ya got it right Ryan...he could have said I have resigned, but instead he said he would resign...there is a difference...as someone else said, he could pull a Larry Craig and announce his resignation and then just not do it...
posted 2 years ago
  15 scott
Posted: Wednesday, 12 March 2008 12:36PM

Gov. Spitzer Resigns -- Effective Monday

ALBANY, N.Y. (1010 WINS/AP) -- New York Governor Eliot Spitzer has resigned -- effective Monday. Spitzer says he will turn over the governor's post to Lieutenant Governor David Paterson, who will become New York's first black governor. Spitzer's resignation completes a stunning fall from power after he was nationally disgraced by links to a high-priced prostitution ring. His involvement as a customer was caught on a federal wiretap as part of an investigation opened in recent months.


He HAS resigned. It's just effective monday.

The question is "Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?"

That is a yes.

If this question is not settled yes then I am done with HubDub. This is ridiculous.
posted 2 years ago
  16 ryanj
Knowing their will be a hell of allot of contention around this market, I've created a discussion here: http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/spitzer_market_issues

If we can get as many people putting their points of view up on the discussion it would be great. In the sense that better future markets can be made via user input.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 2 years ago
  17 bitakarma
The question was not would he leave office, but when would he resign. He resigned today, he will leave office on Monday, but today is when he submitted his resignation. The question should be settled yes.
posted 2 years ago
  18 phred
my opinion is that he resigned today. this question should be settled as a yes.
posted 2 years ago
  19 jake
Scott, he will still be Governor after today. The Larry Craig point above is a great point. He said he would resign and didn't. Announcing intent is not the same as actually resigning, which would make this question settle as no. On 3/13/08 he will still be Governor, hence no resignation has taken place.
posted 2 years ago
  20 bayoubear[Admin]
Perhaps all questions related to Spitzer's resignation should be suspended as people are still wagering on the outcome and the argument is coming down an interpretation of the question itself
posted 2 years ago
  21 belarusia
Announcing intent is not the same as actually resigning!!
posted 2 years ago
  22 myunion
Clearly we did not see this coming, how odd that he would want to keep the governorship over the weekend, last minute pardons out there I guess.
posted 2 years ago
It clearly states all over the news that the governer resigned today. The question wasn't when the resignation would be effective, it was whether he would resign or not. This question should clearly be answered as a yes. This is ridiculous!
posted 2 years ago
I also understood the question to be when he announces his resignation, not when it becomes active. Stuff like that should be clarified before hand.
posted 2 years ago
  25 scott
It was a VERY clear question. There should be no need for even an argument. That's been an ongoing issue at hubdub..
posted 2 years ago
  26 belarusia
this is clearly a NO. He resigns March 17th. Spitzer is still the Governor till he hands over power
posted 2 years ago
  27 neverlupus
I completely agree with scott. This is extremely frustrating. The question is "will he resign?". The answer is "SPITZER RESIGNS" (CNN).
posted 2 years ago
  28 belarusia
He resigns on march 17th. That's just the headline. READ THE WHOLE ARTICLE!!
posted 2 years ago
  29 mozrules
Spitzer Resigns, Citing Personal Failings
By MICHAEL M. GRYNBAUM
Published: March 12, 2008

"Gov. Eliot Spitzer, whose rise to political power as a fierce enforcer of ethics in public life was undone by revelations of his own involvement with prostitutes, resigned on Wednesday, becoming the first New York governor to leave office amid scandal in nearly a century.

The resignation will be effective on Monday, and Lt. Gov. David A. Paterson will be sworn in to replace him."

If hubdub is going to make settlements based on major news sources and settle this as a 'No' , then someone needs to tell the NY Times they don't know what they are talking about. It clearly states, resigned today, to be effective Monday.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/12/nyregion/12cnd-resign.html?bl&ex=1205467200&en=823faf9a1e1c976c&ei=5087
posted 2 years ago
  30 scott
It could not be MORE clear. That's what's so ANNOYING about this. He RESIGNED today effective Monday. Settle the question YES.
posted 2 years ago
  31 belarusia
you can't have it both ways. resign but not resign till monday? lol come on he is in power till monday meaning settle this as a NO and lets move on
posted 2 years ago
  32 phred
this is coming down to semantics.

first, i think all predictions made after the announcement at about 11:30 EST should be voided. second, maybe hubdub can do this: pick which side they support in this argument and then award then the H$ as if they won, while voiding the predictions of the losing side so that no one loses money on semantics
posted 2 years ago
  33 belarusia
sounds like the best outcome, however we shall see what hubdub staff do
posted 2 years ago
But when the question was asked, it was not about the final day of leaving, it was about whether he would announce he was resigning (I mean, no-one betting on this question was thinking -- oh wait, how many days after he announces will he actually leave -- they were wondering if he would resign today or not, which he did) If you got it wrong, accept it. Playing word games to try to keep your money is pathetic.
posted 2 years ago
  35 belarusia
question doesnt say when he will announce. it states when he will resign and that is March 17th. It's very clear and you're twisting it to try and not lose your H$. You can try but i'm sure hubdub staff can see past the smoke that you're trying to blow at them.
posted 2 years ago
  36 scott
He resigned today. 100000000 news papers support it. What do you want, him to come here personally and decide the question?
posted 2 years ago
  37 scott
once again the question Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?

Not when its EFFECTIVE when will he RESIGN.

Any dope can do this logic.
posted 2 years ago
  38 belarusia
well then do the logic! he can't resign but NOT resign until March 17th. The announced resignation is March 17th. I feel your frusteration as you must have all your money on yes. Cash in and switch before it's too late. lol. Spitzer is governor today, tommorrow and until March 17th. That's logic
posted 2 years ago
  39 belarusia
He isn' resigned right now, he could just as well choose not to resign on the 17th afterall (and face impeachment regardless), the fact is, he only announced resigning, he hasn't physically resigned yet, he's still getting a paycheck till its official.
posted 2 years ago
  40 neverlupus
belarusia, the point is that scott and I and others with our opinion are interpreting this question based solely on the news articles and the way the question was stated. You are adding the parameter of when he hands power over, which is not stated in the question. That is the fabrication of you and others with the same opinion.
posted 2 years ago
  41 belarusia
when he hands power over that is when he resigns, like i stated above: he could just as well choose not to resign on the 17th afterall (and face impeachment regardless), the fact is, he only announced resigning, he hasn't physically resigned yet, he's still getting a paycheck till its official.
posted 2 years ago
  42 neverlupus
It doesn't really matter what you say. You're adding to the question. I'd advise you to settle and cut your losses.
posted 2 years ago
  43 belarusia
hope you don't have all your money on YES as you will lose it, that's all I have to say. Look at my net worth and you might also see me on the leaderboard. Put more money on YES so i can get a better percentage on the NO
posted 2 years ago
an opinion from someone who has, and who has had, no money in this market:

http://www.tfd.com/resign
"v.tr.
2. To give up (a position, for example), especially by formal notification.
3. To relinquish (a privilege, right, or claim).
v.intr.
To give up one's job or office; quit, especially by formal notification"

seeing that he has yet to give up the office, he has not fulfilled both parts of the definition of resigning.

words mean things, and thats where the dictionary comes in. perhaps someone can find a dictionary that defines "resign" as just providing notification of intent? until then, looks like this one was settled correctly.
posted 2 years ago
or *will be* settled correctly, i should say.
posted 2 years ago
  46 crudsy
To me he resigned today..question-when will spitzer resign as reported bt news..answer-he resigned today..that should have been the answer as yes..if people are saying it doesnt say when will he announce it then it also doesnt say when the offical date is given as an option either..it cant be one way and not the other..everyone is reporting he resigned today..i dont get it...people are putting their time into answering stuff for fake money..do u think they will put more time in analyzing questions for every possible scenario..keep it simple..if it was going to be discussed this way the wagering should have been suspended b4 an opinion was given and if that was the opinion then it should just have been settled..and it could have been settled as yes and then if he was still goverener for some reason after monday reversed as needed as was the amy winehouse question..and if the tie is purple that question should be voided..once again people arent going to waste their time analyzing what purple really is..its purple..thats it..sorry to go off track.:)
posted 2 years ago
  47 crudsy
and i already cashed out so it doesnt matter to me one way or the other
posted 2 years ago
  48 randburg
crudsy is right. BUT if no one can agree on what the words SPITZER RESIGNED means, why not void the question? The acrimony that has developed today over at least two of the Spitzer questions is not good for the hubdub community. There have been at least two resignations in hubdub and major bitterness all around. I don't think this is what the editors have in mind...
posted 2 years ago
  49 neverlupus
The real question is why haven't the editor's stepped in yet. God know's they're busy, but this and similar questions are collectively the largest issue today.
posted 2 years ago
  50 belarusia
Spitzer's resignation letter clearly states he is resigning on March 17. READ IT!!! http://www.ny.gov/governor/press/resignation.pdf
posted 2 years ago
  51 scott
One of the problems with HubDub (which I like very much) is that people get into any possible interpretation of the question.

The questions SHOULD be written more carefully. That's been an ongoing problem.

However THIS question was written very well and very clearly.

"Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?"

The answer is that he resigned his office on 3/12/08, and will officially be leaving on the 17th. You CAN resign a position an leave at a later date.

DO NOT try to add onto a clear question as some are trying to do. I can cite a TON of news stories today that he RESIGNED TODAY.

This is the question. Those who are arguing otherwise either have money riding the wrong way or just poor reasoning skills.
posted 2 years ago
  52 belarusia
please refer to comment #44 and you will see that your position is a false one, it was already proven. And also read Spitzer's resignation letter and he himself writes " resigning my position as Governor- March 17, 2008" THANK YOU GOVERNOR FOR THE PROOF!
http://www.ny.gov/governor/press/resignation.pdf
posted 2 years ago
  53 scott
belarusia.... he resigned his position TODAY effective march 17th. So we agree. The answer is YES.
posted 2 years ago
  54 ironman288
If you quit your job but give two weeks notice do you really consider that you quit after the last day? When i was leaving my first job I considered myself to have quit when I gave notice, just as I say that spitzer has already resigned.

"words mean things, and thats where the dictionary comes in. perhaps someone can find a dictionary that defines "resign" as just providing notification of intent? until then, looks like this one was settled correctly."

yes words have meanings but in general speaking terms (The whole language as it is today most commonly used) would generally be taken as he has already resigned. I think the only reason there is any issue is becasue some people are arguing for which way they voted instead of what they think is actually right ;)
posted 2 years ago
  55 belarusia
ironman288 read post #44 and you will see the definition for resign and it should clearly be settled as NO.
Also when you quit your job and give 2 weeks notice, on your next application what dates do you put as the dates you worked with the company? Obviously your first and last day at the company.. (that was simple)
posted 2 years ago
If someone opens a new question, "Will Spitzer still be Gov on the 18th?" I would bet some serious HD$$$ on that one. My prediction might be wrong, but I don't think he will resign at all... he'll find excuses to delay his resignation with the hope of staying in long enough for the media spotlights to be pointed elsewhere. BUT I don't know what deals he may have made to avoid jail time... so I could be wwwaaayyy out in left field on this one and about to lose all my HD$$$...
posted 2 years ago
  57 belarusia
the question is right here: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/When_will_New_York_Governor_Elliot_Spitzer_resign_as_a_result_of_his_involvement_in_a_prostitution_ring_scandal_3983

Lets see if you can back up your talk. Put your money where your mouth is.
posted 2 years ago
  58 scott
If we are going to have to go through this stupid stuff for every big question out there this site will fail. Too many, too much.

When you get a SIMPLE question as "Will Governor Elliot Spitzer resign from office on 3/12/08?" and there are 1000 news orginazations that say HE DID then why are we even arguing?
posted 2 years ago
  59 owl1
I have to side with Scott on this one, He resigned today.
posted 2 years ago
  60 belarusia
If he actually would've resigned effective today it wouldn't be a story, however he will resign March 17th. READ HIS LETTER OF RESIGNATION!!!
http://www.ny.gov/governor/press/resignation.pdf
posted 2 years ago
  61 scott
I dont give a crap about his letter. WATCH his speech today when HE RESIGNED. Jeez. You are like Bush - repeat repeat repeat.
posted 2 years ago
a whole bunch of blather...but no one able to reference of definition of "resign" that doesnt also require relinquishing power, as well as a formal notification.

"but the headlines all say it" = "dewey beats truman!"
posted 2 years ago
  63 jake
Another ridiculous void. I think a certain few could make any question settle any way they wanted to.
posted 2 years ago
void? looks like it was settled to me.
posted 2 years ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Fitch Rates New York Tobacco Settlement Financial Corp's $441MM Asset-Backed Revs 'A+'

Fitch Ratings assigns its 'A+' rating to the Tobacco Settlement Financing Corporation's (State of New York) $216,590,000 asset-backed revenue...

score: 10
Spitzer's successor: State must get back on track

New York Lt. Gov. David Paterson says it's time for the state to get back on track after Gov. Eliot Spitzer's stunning resignation because of a ...

score: 10
New York Forests Regain Green Certified Status

New York State Department of Environmental Conservation Commissioner Pete Grannis announced today that state-owned forests have regained their...

score: 10
Eliot Spitzer’s ‘Kristen’ Somehow Much More Adorable Than Anticipated


score: 10
Another tri-state governor in scandal

A dynamic young governor near the New York media spotlight is suddenly derailed by scandal. In 2004, it was Connecticut's John Rowland, followed...