Created Tue 29th Apr 1:55am PDT by
nigeleccles
All questions » Entertainment » Celebrities » 
Will Hannah Montana star Miley Cyrus manage to keep her clothes on until her 16th birthday?
Hubdub users say:
No
(57% chance
)
)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No with a probability of 57% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Miley Cyrus, 15 year old star of Disney franchise Hannah Montana and role model to millions of teenage girls seems to have trouble keeping her clothes on. Recently she appeared 'topless' in Vanity Fair (http://tinyurl.com/5llhpn) and she has previous with photos of her baring her bra and posing in her panties recently surfacing (http://tinyurl.com/4me8bl). The blogosphere is now saying just stop it Miley. You can even join the campaign to save her before she goes fully Britney (http://www.stopitmiley.com/).
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$42,955
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
This question will be settled as no if Miley Cyrus poses nude, semi-nude, topless (similar to Vanity Fair photos), displaying her bra or in her pants (clarification: that is underpants) before her 16th birthday on November 23rd.
Suspend date: Sat 22nd Nov 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 40%
Action history:
Created Tue 29th Apr 1:55am PDT by
nigeleccles
Settlement requested Fri 16th May 7:39am PDT by
lonewolfjustin: This was announced on May 11, 2008. It falls in the guide lines of the settle due to pants being dropped and showing underwear. http://celebdirtylaundry.com/2008/05/11/this-is-getting-old-more-miley-my-space-pics-released/
Suspended Sat 17th May 10:26am PDT by
tisha
: Checking settlement request.
Unsuspended Sun 18th May 2:04pm PDT by
ryanj
: The settlement request doesn't fit the settlement guidelines.
Settlement requested Sun 18th May 6:33pm PDT by
lonewolfjustin: This was announced on May 11, 2008. It falls in the guide lines of the settle due to pants being dropped and showing underwear. The question says underpants and her underpants are showing. The article even talks about her showing her underpants. http://celebdirtylaundry.com/2008/05/11/this-is-getting-old-more-miley-my-space-pics-released/
Settlement requested Sat 24th May 8:49pm PDT by
lonewolfjustin: Settle as "no" here is another site posted on May 23 showing herself in underwear and fully exposed belly. This is the second site I have supplied showing her showing her underwear which is cause for settlement. http://defamer.com/5010763/tarnished-tween-queen-miley-cyrus-caught-eating-her-clothes-off
Settlement requested Sun 25th May 11:35am PDT by
owl1: Article says new photos. http://news.aol.com/entertainment/music/music-news-story/ar/_a/more-racy-miley-pics-see-daylight/20080523121109990001
Suspended Mon 26th May 7:52am PDT by
tisha
: Checking settlement sources
Settlement requested Thu 29th May 7:42am PDT by
jenniandboys
: As far as I can tell, although they are new to the public, the pictures themselves are old. They were sent to her then boyfriend Nick Jonas who I believe she broke up with back in Dec/Jan.
Pictures for Jonas:
http://community.livejournal.com/ohnotheydidnt/23771149.html#cutid1
No longer dating Jonas:
http://www.celebrity-gossip.net/celebrities/hollywood/miley-cyrus-and-nick-jonas-call-it-quits-202554/
Unsuspend please
Pictures for Jonas:
http://community.livejournal.com/ohnotheydidnt/23771149.html#cutid1
No longer dating Jonas:
http://www.celebrity-gossip.net/celebrities/hollywood/miley-cyrus-and-nick-jonas-call-it-quits-202554/
Unsuspend please
Unsuspended Thu 29th May 12:03pm PDT by
ryanj
: Photos must be new, these photos were taken before the first batch was released. Clarifying market with this.
Clarified Thu 29th May 12:03pm PDT by
ryanj
: Photos must be new photos, the photos released were old, from when Jonas and Miley were dating.
Settlement requested Mon 14th Jul 9:11am PDT by
lonewolfjustin: Got this from the news sites on hubdubs news links.
http://www.zeenews.com/articles.asp?aid=455253&sid=ent&ssid=1
http://www.zeenews.com/articles.asp?aid=455253&sid=ent&ssid=1
Settlement requested Mon 14th Jul 11:14am PDT by
jenniandboys
: Above settlement request is still for old photos: http://www.themoneytimes.com/articles/20080714/miley_cyrus_shower_snap_scandal-id-1029277.html
As far as I can tell, this market should NOT be settled yet.
As far as I can tell, this market should NOT be settled yet.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: This question will be settled as no if Miley Cyrus poses nude, semi-nude, topless (similar to Vanity Fair photos), displaying her bra or in her pants (clarification: that is underpants) before her 16th birthday on November 23rd.... read all
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score: 10
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9-2PP16LHA
Reptuse... Domenuse
The Harvest shall be good!!!!
I know for a fact that in the US of A you have to be 18 to legally have pics of u nude or topless anything under is illegal as
'child porn'
and let me just say before my dad (an average American says anything... shut up :P
Personally, I think she'll be fine. That Vanity Fair shoot really bothered her, especially regarding her younger fan base (who she is targeting!)
and
captainron - bikini =/= (does not equal) bra or topless...
Isn't she supposed to be PG-13? Or is this a maturing Barbie doll with plasic comb and hairbrush set?
I have not seen a single person yet say that this is utterly wrong for a 15yr old and what precedent it sets for other minors to become even more scanty then many already are!
It's sad how sinful man is. We've always been sinful true, but my goodness, soon it'll be a 12yr old cupping herself and THAT's IT and it'll be called "artistic" and will make front pages, that is appalling and it's absurd how far it's going these days.
David Hamilton pics these certainly are not, BUT that is the direction it is headed and we all know it!
Yeah, it's messed up lucid, but it isn't nearly as bad as some of those cartoons they draw across the pacific... And there is outrage, not patronage. I don't think we are beyond hope here.
http://celebdirtylaundry.com/2008/05/11/this-is-getting-old-more-miley-my-space-pics-released/
I believe that this was prior to the question creation and therefore shouldn't be counted (but boy, there is no way I would bet yes on this question!)
I looked around and it looks like the pictures aren't actually new.. they were sent to her then boyfriend Nick Jonas, but they broke up several months ago. Please post if you have other info, I'm not a Miley expert!
I've asked for the market to be reopened.
I'm covering Tisha as he's on holiday so hopefully I can sort all this out. I mean naked teenagers and abused congressional pages are pretty much the same thing right?
Anyway. The photos that were released were old and from when Miley and Jonas were dating. So therefore the market doesn't settle yet. But knowing Miley I'm guessing we'll get a sex video by the end of June (This is so wrong, this damn category is going to corrupt my good soul). I've clarified the market stating that the photos released must be new.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
PS Tish apologies!!
the question asks if she will bare her nude body AGAIN before her 16th birthday, not if new pictures previously taken will be released
That's my 'common sense' argument... for an argument on technicalities: the settlement details ask if she will POSE in any new pictures. All markets are active only from when they are created, therefore any pictures settling this market would have to have been taken after Apr 29th at 12:55 AM PST.
I'm sure everyone here has at LEAST one market whose settlement has driven them batty. But I always remind myself that (nearly) everyone has the best of intentions, the admins do their best to be fair and for every frustrating market there are many others that are unambigious and fun. I hope you won't let this question sour your hubdub experience, cause I have to tell you, it can sure be pretty fun.
God knows i've lost thousands on technicalities, it teaches us to scrutinize new questions in the future, whether creating or wagering... besides, with stock market questions, money might as well grow on trees around here!!!!
on a professional note, all the new "stuff" like digg and abc links and the graphics, really slow down the loading of pages since the new format was adopted... my internet connection is quite fast, but drags noticeably with all the new stuff.....maybe you, as a superhero, can speak to the hubdub gods and ask them if we can "opt out" of the new features on a per-feature basis, like the google and yahoo personal pages.... some of the new stuff is great, but do i really need to see digg and abc links EVERY TIME the pages load? and the tool for recent bets in the upper lefthand corner is redundant, as even more recent bets are logged in the predictions tab....and can't we get the "my open questions" sorting page defaulted, instead of the old one, i think we all like the sorter better than the old one... Thanks Superjenni! Wondertwin powers ACTIVATE; form of: a suggestion!!!
Even though I don't use any of those sites, I liked that Hubdub was adding tools and functionality, so I'm hoping there's a fix for you without removing them.
is anyone else experiencing the freezing tocm mentioned?
Wonderpowers: go to bed...
(See, really quite boring, sorry.)
@all HD'S..let me asure you tish is 100% woman. since are romance has been made public i'm sure she won't mind me telling you all...ouch! she just slapped me. guess i can't tell you the details.
"This question will be settled as no if Miley Cyrus poses nude, semi-nude, topless (similar to Vanity Fair photos), displaying her bra or in her pants (clarification: that is underpants) before her 16th birthday on November 23rd."
I am not generally a complainer; you can look at my previous comments on other questions. But this question again should be settled.
So from I am hearing from yall, when photos come out we have to verify when the photos were actually taken so that we know if they was taken after the question was made. I will be searching for any new news of Miley posing in photos and trying to settle this question. I guess yalls job will be to re-write the question to fit the "yes" answers and search the actual date of photos being taken.
My opinion is that this question cannot be settled as yes if photos released are taken outside of this time frame.
You know, I'm really starting to feel sorry for this girl. People hacking into her phone, email accounts... She's still only 15. That's pretty young to be hounded by this level of paparazzi and media attention.
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