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Will Heath Ledger get an Oscar nomination for his role in The Dark Knight?

Current forecast: 92% chance 10%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 92% likely to happen (up 10% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
92%
No
8%
Activity: H$51,245
Question suspends in 17 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 1st Apr 2009 12:59am PDT (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Jan 4:48pm PST by raresaturn
Edited Wed 5th Mar 3:16pm PST by chris[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 1st Apr 2009 12:59am PDT (17 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (167)

167 predictions

1 week ago
myles predicted Yes (H$100 at 92%)
1 week ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 87%)
2 weeks ago
dunphy666 predicted Yes (H$100 at 82%)
3 weeks ago
swatjester predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 81%)
3 weeks ago
magnifica predicted Yes (H$100 at 80%)
more

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