Created Sat 26th Apr 2:03pm PDT by 
ryanb37
All questions » Entertainment » Awards » ryanb37 
Will Heath Ledger win an Oscar in 2009 for his role as the Joker in Dark Knight?
Current forecast: 69% chance 
2%
2%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 69% likely to happen (up 2% in last 1 day)
The Dark Knight is looking to be this summer's blockbuster movie. Already movie critics are talking up its Oscar potential including the possibility that Heath Ledger could win a posthumous Oscar. However MSNBC reports:
But Oscar watchers and veteran critics say the joke may be on fans creating mostly Internet-based buzz because an Academy Award for the Australian actor, who died of an accidental drug overdose in January, would be a rare event.
Only one actor has won an Oscar after death, Peter Finch for 1976's Network. Dark Knight is the type of comic book, action adventure that Oscar voters generally do not favor and there are many movies to see later this year, the experts said.
Whether the Dark Knight bucks the trend remains to be seen.
But Oscar watchers and veteran critics say the joke may be on fans creating mostly Internet-based buzz because an Academy Award for the Australian actor, who died of an accidental drug overdose in January, would be a rare event.
Only one actor has won an Oscar after death, Peter Finch for 1976's Network. Dark Knight is the type of comic book, action adventure that Oscar voters generally do not favor and there are many movies to see later this year, the experts said.
Whether the Dark Knight bucks the trend remains to be seen.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$152,142
Question suspends in 4 weeks
Suspend date: Fri 2nd Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Sat 26th Apr 2:03pm PDT by ryanb37
ryanb37
Suspend date: Fri 2nd Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
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546 predictions
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score: 10
The Age 1 week ago
Bale as Batman in The Joker's 'defining moment'. The Hollywood studio behind this year's blockbuster, The Dark Knight, has launched an ambitious campaign to dominate the coming Academy Awards and score Heath Ledger a posthumous Oscar. Warner Bros this
score: 10
ABC Online 1 week ago
The Hollywood studio behind The Dark Knight has launched an ambitious campaign to dominate the upcoming Academy Awards and score Heath Ledger a posthumous Oscar. Warner Brothers this week rolled out its first Oscar specific ad
score: 10
Herald Sun 1 week ago
The Hollywood studio behind The Dark Knight, has launched an ambitious campaign to dominate the coming Academy Awards and score Heath Ledger a posthumous Oscar. Warner Bros this week rolled out its first Oscar specific ad
score: 10
TheStar.com.my 2 weeks ago
After this year's Academy Awards, the question was whether the Oscars were still relevant or if they were going the way of art galleries and modern dance, perceived as too elite and avant garde
score: 10
Guardian Unlimited 2 weeks ago
There's still no sign of a third Batman film from Christopher Nolan on the horizon, four months after the release of The Dark Knight. One gets the impression that this movie was such a labour of love for
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depends on how u look at it.....
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