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Created Mon 28th Jan 11:01am PST by steveb
All questions » World » Asia » 

Will Helen Clark still be the New Zealand Prime Minister at the end of 2008?

Settled as No

Given that she both lost the election and announced she was stepping down as Labour leader before the end of the year, this can settle as No.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hIZqUv5OHJJWTne38U9F-gR9CiVQD94AV4781
http://www.thewest.com.au/aapstory.aspx?StoryName=528824

Background:

It's election year in New Zealand, and it appears to be a tight race between Helen Clark's Labour Party and John Key's National Party.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
10%
No
90%
Activity: H$29,261
Settled as No on Sat 8th Nov 1:26pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sat 8th Nov 1:26pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Mon 28th Jan 11:01am PST by steveb
Edited Tue 11th Mar 6:31am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Fri 7th Nov 3:38pm PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: Suspended prior to election.
Settlement requested Sat 8th Nov 3:28am PST by curios: http://www.thewest.com.au/aapstory.aspx?StoryName=528824
Settlement requested Sat 8th Nov 5:42am PST by orlin: No

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7717014.stm
Settlement requested Sat 8th Nov 11:03am PST by steez: settle as no: result http://www.nzherald.co.nz/
Settled as 'No' Sat 8th Nov 1:26pm PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: Given that she both lost the election and announced she was stepping down as Labour leader before the end of the year, this can settle as No.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hIZqUv5OHJJWTne38U9F-gR9CiVQD94AV4781
http://www.thewest.com.au/aapstory.aspx?StoryName=528824

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sat 8th Nov 1:26pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (66)

66 predictions

3 weeks ago
tisha[Admin] predicted Yes (H$200 at 9%)
3 weeks ago
curios predicted No (H$5,000 at 89%)
3 weeks ago
spitvalve predicted No (H$1,000 at 85%)
4 weeks ago
shojun predicted No (H$500 at 84%)
4 weeks ago
bgrigore predicted Yes (H$300 at 15%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 curios
as the election is on this Saturday the suspension time should be adjusted
posted 3 weeks ago

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