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Will Hillary Clinton cry again before Super Tuesday?

Settled as Yes


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.


SETTLEMENT NOTES:
Reports from USA Today, NYT are saying there was another well up in Conn. This is being settled as a yes. The evidence is here:
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/02/04/a-sort-of-homecoming/

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
29%
No
71%
Activity: H$52,658
Settled as Yes on Mon 4th Feb 10:28am PST

Suspend date: Mon 4th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 4th Feb 10:28am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Jan 10:30am PST by astraea
Settled Mon 4th Feb 10:28am PST

Suspend date: Mon 4th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 4th Feb 10:28am PST
more info...

 

Predictions (409)

409 predictions

43 weeks ago
oops predicted Yes (H$100 at 26%)
43 weeks ago
babs78ang predicted No (H$50 at 74%)
43 weeks ago
bostongraf predicted No (H$100 at 62%)
43 weeks ago
boyconundrum predicted Yes (H$100 at 31%)
43 weeks ago
jeromco predicted No (H$100 at 71%)
more

Comments (17)

  1 nubbins
It might happen privately!
posted 43 weeks ago
  2 ratel
:) I think it has to be public, a good test would be Wolf Blitzer at any point saying "Hillary (something something) tears today."
posted 43 weeks ago
  3 dollars
obama your candidate of hope ? take a look at his accomplishments:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oXAQ3BHTbjs

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FxyPBmZE69s

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xqu3u9ISctA
posted 43 weeks ago
  4 dollars
you should weigh in on the question @ getsatisfaction by clicking help then the getsatisfaction link the question there is:

"Should Hubdub insiders who settle questions be allowed to make predictions?

To date, Hubdub staff who settle questions have also participated in making predictions on those and other questions. We have strived to be as objective as possible on every settlement and settlements are regularly cross-checked. However some users perceive that this conflict of interest may cause us to incorrectly settle questions for our benefit. We can change the rules to:
(1) No restriction (status quo)
(2) No predicting on questions within their category
(3) No predicting on any questions

Thoughts?
posted 43 weeks ago
  5 ryanj[Admin]
If Hillary does not cry by the time in the settlement end details this will be decided as no.
posted 43 weeks ago
I Just Watched The Mtv / Myspace Mini-Interactive-Debate And 20% of Responses For Online Polling Came From Under 18 Years Old And 10% Didn't Plan To Vote Either By Not Registering To Vote Or By Simply Not Wanting Too!
So Up To 30% Of People Who Will Not Effect The Actual Election, Are Being Considered For Online Statistical Polling Purposes!
I Would Say, In Light Of That Hillary Clintons SLIM Lead Is ACTUALLY Up To 30% Higher Since Obama Is Known To Attract Young Voters.
What Do Other People Think, Concerning The Accuracy Of What The Polls Are Showing?
posted 43 weeks ago
  7 smidge76
Online polling isn't very accurate regardless, that is why there is usually a disclaimer included with the results that states something to the effect of "this was not a scientifically conducted poll." Many scientifically conducted polls will give one statistic that includes all of those interviewed and one that includes only "likely voters." However, as we've already seen this election cycle, even these polls can be way off the mark. Sometimes journalists don't say which statistic they are using, but good journalists will. I wouldn't ever give a lot of weight to any poll conducted online. The sample will always be scewed.
posted 43 weeks ago
  8 smidge76
oops...skewed
posted 43 weeks ago
  10 ryanj[Admin]
Ok this evidence is not conclusive yet. So I'm going to suspend as of now until we get a clear picture of what or what didn't happen. We are consulting at Hubdub right now and an answer will come along shortly.

Regdars,
Ryan

U.S. Politics Content Editor
posted 43 weeks ago
  11 guido
  12 ryanj[Admin]
Hey guys thanks for the quick responses about the breaking news of another well up. For those who bet yes, you guys must have some crystal ball! Anyway we've settled as a yes. Lets get the will she cry after Feb. 5 ones rolling.

Ryan
U.S. Politics Editor
posted 43 weeks ago
  13 smidge76
Nooooo!!! I can't believe it. Twice?? How will the female gender ever live this down? I think I need to have a good cry now. :(
posted 43 weeks ago
  14 golwar
That was crying ? Oh well, seems we have different defintions of cyring on both sides of the atlantic ;)
But well, I guess when the first act was called crying its ok in this case too.
posted 43 weeks ago
  15 astraea
from the OP of the question -

I'm female and I bet she would cry again.

Posting follow up.
posted 43 weeks ago
  16 shadowfax
Congrats to all who saw this event coming. kudos and hats off to you!
well deserved win. I shoulda seen it... I coulda been a contender, I...I
just thought her handlers would've advised to restrain...
not that this will influence my vote, does show her humanity.
Now its shapin' up to be a real horse race for tomorrow!
posted 43 weeks ago
  17 dieseldog
Look up the defintion of crying...SHE DID NOT CRY! I sent my reasoning in and haven't got response. Hopefully i'll get one here.
posted 42 weeks ago

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