deelilley Will Hillary Clinton drop out of the Democratic primary after March 5th?
It is the day of the Wyoming caucus, she has not dropped out
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. This will be settled as a no or yes depending on if she drops out before the next Democratic Caucus in Wyoming on the 8th of March.
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Suspend date: Sat 8th Mar 12am PST Settlement date: Sat 8th Mar 10:05am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 8th Mar 12am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
deelilley 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
buckeyeguy: "This will be settled as a no or yes depending on if she drops out before the next Democratic Caucus in Wyoming on the 8th of March."
Caucus in Wyoming has begun: http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/3/8/84724/96509
ryanj: It is the day of the Wyoming caucus, she has not dropped out
Suspend date: Sat 8th Mar 12am PST Settlement date: Sat 8th Mar 10:05am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 8th Mar 12am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Get widget!Predictions (173)
173 predictions
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capecodvikingComments (11)
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New in Politics » US Election 2008
--d
If she is still running after that, post the question again with an August date-)
I would have bet on this one if I hadn't lost on Mittens..
so how can it end *on* march 5. I think what you are really asking is will she pull out *by march 5*. Will she pull out sometime before March 5 midnight? Thats not what you said but from your comments and the end date it seems to be what you meant.
Obama's been ahead since his gains on Super Tuesday; more votes, more delegates, & more states.
"Right now Obama has won almost 1 million more votes, about 130 more elected delegates, about twice as many states..." http://tinyurl.com/38mfoj
Hillary needs a sweep of her own on March 5, and that's unlikely.
Cheers
Obama 1262
Clinton 1213
http://www.cnn.com/POLITICS/
Those numbers guarentee that this is going to convention. Neither of them can get the nomination by pledged delagates at this point. By the way, CNN beats Daily Kos as a news source.
"This will be settled as a no or yes depending on if she drops out before the next Democratic Caucus in Wyoming on the 8th of March."
Does this suit those betting on this market?
Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
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