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Will Hillary Clinton make her 2007 tax return public before 3/31/08 11.59pm est?

Settled as No

She has not yet made the returns public as of the end date

Background:

She has said she will release them soon, but how soon?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
5%
No
95%
Activity: H$46,663
Settled as No on Mon 31st Mar 8:49am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 31st Mar 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 31st Mar 8:49am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 31st Mar 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sun 2nd Mar 10:18pm PST by duckie
Edited Mon 3rd Mar 2:21am PST by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Mon 31st Mar 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Mon 31st Mar 8:49am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: She has not yet made the returns public as of the end date

Suspend date: Mon 31st Mar 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 31st Mar 8:49am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 31st Mar 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (166)

166 predictions

35 weeks ago
jawsoflife predicted No (H$500 at 94%)
35 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 90%)
35 weeks ago
buckeyeguy predicted No (H$1,000 at 89%)
35 weeks ago
galahaut predicted No (H$30 at 88%)
35 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 87%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 duckie
The setup wouldn't allow me to choose an end date so the admins will have to do that manually i guess. sorry guys.
posted 39 weeks ago
With a pretty large time period untill the next prmary expect her to release them soon so as to minimize any potentialy damaging information.
posted 38 weeks ago
Has Obama released his 2007 tax return yet? Just asking since there seems to be a bunch of media calling for Clinton's tax return. Also unless I missed something, Americans do not have to file until April 15 and that includes Clinton and Obama. I would assume that someone with the complicated nature of the Clinton's tax return (books, govt. income, speaking $, investments, etc) wouldn't file early, heck I usually don't file before April.

BTW - my commments are not directed at the question or questioner just the frenzy and guilt by accusation of the media about why she hasn't released them yet when she isn't even required to file them yet.
posted 36 weeks ago
Yes, Obama released his a while ago. They are not required to release them until they get the nomination I think but since finances have been such an important topic of discussion this campaign season the pressure has been on. (Esp after the 5$mil loan in Jan) I'm pretty certain she said that they're done, she just doesn't feel the need to release them yet. Certainly she is under no obligation to.

My guess? They're complicated and she doesn't want the hassle of trying to explain them to people who will try to make a mountain out of a molehill.
posted 36 weeks ago
Actually I can find no reference to Obama returning his 2007 return yet. He has released his 2006, but like Clinton I doubt that he has filed 2007 yet. If you find a reference please post. And yes I am sure the loan complicates her return at least from a technical standpoint. As I have never loaned an organization $5 mil myself, I am uncertain of the quantity of paperwork involved, but my guess is there would be a mountain.
posted 36 weeks ago
Here's ABC news.. not as specific as I was hoping (a date of release), but hopefully clear? This is about more than just the 2007 returns -- apparently they haven't released any of them since they left office.

http://abcnews.go.com/ThisWeek/story?id=4373868&page=1

They have a pretty complicated income situation I think and are probably hoping to avoid having to explain it. (Not that I'm implying there's anything shady, just that its hard to explain complicated stuff well in news-sized nuggets)
posted 36 weeks ago

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