Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
My Predictions

Will Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama have the most PLEDGED delegates going into the convention?

Settled as Barack Obama

As per the current political climate, Obama will have the most pledged delegates going into the convention

Background:

Will Obama maintain his lead in pledged delegates?
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Hillary Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
97%
Activity: H$299,102
Settled as Barack Obama on Wed 21st May 4:54am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by CNN. The total should include any delegates awarded to Florida or Michigan by DNC agreement with the states and/or new contests.

Suspend date: Sat 2nd Aug 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Wed 21st May 4:54am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 21st May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Hillary Clinton: 25%, Barack Obama: 75%

Action history:

Created Wed 12th Mar 8:02pm PDT by triathematician
Settlement requested Tue 20th May 8:03pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Obama now has more pledged delegates than she can achieve.
Settled as 'Barack Obama' Wed 21st May 4:54am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: As per the current political climate, Obama will have the most pledged delegates going into the convention
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by CNN. The total should include any delegates awarded to Florida or Michigan by DNC agreement with the states and/or new contests.... read all

 

Predictions (306)

306 predictions

15 weeks ago
sylvia predicted Barack Obama (H$100 at 97%)
15 weeks ago
killyin predicted Barack Obama (H$100 at 93%)
15 weeks ago
jhuckabee predicted Barack Obama (H$100 at 93%)
15 weeks ago
redskins predicted Barack Obama (H$50 at 96%)
15 weeks ago
tangledweb predicted Barack Obama (H$100 at 93%)
more

Comments (8)

  2 destry[Admin]
I have one small question about this market, it says going into the convention, does that include the michigan and florida delegates, if it's decided at the convention how to seat them?
posted 23 weeks ago
Settlement rules: As reported by CNN. The total should include any delegates awarded to Florida or Michigan by DNC agreement with the states and/or new contests.
posted 23 weeks ago
So I would think it would have to be decided BEFORE the convention. If its decided by the rules committee AT the convention, I say they don't count. Any other intrepertations?
posted 23 weeks ago
  5 rohan
Why is this s high in favour of Obama?
posted 22 weeks ago
Because he has a pretty commanding lead right now and its virtually impossible for her to pass him in pledged delegates before the convention.
posted 22 weeks ago
  7 rohan
okay...
posted 22 weeks ago
  8 owl1
Virtually? How about completely. She should go bye-bye!
posted 18 weeks ago

Please log in or join to post a comment.

New to Hubdub?

Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions

Start playing or learn more